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The New England Patriots (2-6) host the Washington Commanders (3-5) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, November 5, 2023.
The Patriots rank 26th in total offense (284.8 yards per game) and 10th in total defense (321.1 yards allowed per game) this year. The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, ceding 374.1 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 20th with 319.6 total yards per contest.
Patriots vs. Commanders Picks
Currently, 56.2% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Commanders to upset the Patriots, with 50.5% picking the Commanders to cover the 3.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Patriots vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, November 5, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
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Take a look at some betting trends for New England (-3.5) versus Washington on Sunday. The over/under has been set at 40.5 points for this game.
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
- Three of the Patriots’ eight games with a set total have hit the over (37.5%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank 26th in total offense (284.8 yards per game) and 10th in total defense (321.1 yards allowed per game) this year.
- The Patriots rank second-worst in scoring offense (14.8 points per game), but they’ve been slightly better on defense, ranking 26th with 26.0 points allowed per contest.
- Offensively, the Patriots rank 20th in the NFL with 200.4 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 17th in passing yards allowed per contest (223.3).
- The Patriots are totaling 84.4 rushing yards per game on offense (27th in the NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 97.9 rushing yards allowed per game.
- The Patriots rank 25th in third-down efficiency (34.0%) on offense and 12th in third-down conversion rate allowed (37.6%) on defense this year.
- The Patriots have the third-best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed (5.1), while their offense is ranked 27th, gaining 4.9 per play.
- With seven forced turnovers (27th in NFL) against 13 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Patriots’ -6 turnover margin is the fourth-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,641 PASS YDS / 205.1 YPG / 66.5% / 9 TD / 8 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 97 CAR / 307 YDS / 38.4 YPG / 2 TD / 25 REC / 173 YDS / 21.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 67 CAR / 260 YDS / 32.5 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 7.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 23 REC / 238 YDS / 29.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 19 REC / 222 YDS / 31.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 55 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 3 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- So far this season, the Commanders have compiled a 3-4-1 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season, the Commanders are 2-1-1 against the spread.
- Commanders games have gone over the point total in four out of eight opportunities (50%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders rank 20th in total yards per game (319.6), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 374.1 total yards surrendered per contest.
- The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, allowing 28.5 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 17th with 21.4 points per contest.
- The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, ceding 256.8 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 12th with 233.8 passing yards per contest.
- The Commanders are putting up 85.9 rushing yards per game on offense this season (26th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 117.4 rushing yards per contest (21st-ranked) on defense.
- The Commanders rank fourth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (33.0%), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 22nd in the NFL with a 41.1% third-down rate allowed.
- From an offensive angle, the Commanders are generating 5.6 yards per play (12th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.9 yards allowed per play).
- The Commanders have accumulated 12 forced turnovers (10th in NFL) and committed 12 turnovers (19th in NFL) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 15th in the NFL.
Best Players for Commanders
- Sam Howell: 2,146 PASS YDS / 268.3 YPG / 66.9% / 13 TD / 8 INT / 24 CAR / 130 RUSH YDS / 1 TD
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 95 CAR / 384 YDS / 48.0 YPG / 4 TD / 13 REC / 133 YDS / 16.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 42 REC / 495 YDS / 61.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 35 REC / 332 YDS / 41.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 30 REC / 291 YDS / 36.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Kamren Curl: 65 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 4 PD
