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Star runner Diego Pavia and the New Mexico State Aggies (6-3) meet the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-6) on Saturday at 6:00 PM ET at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
The Aggies are the favorites (-3) in their game against the Blue Raiders, with the over/under being 56 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Aggies are -157 and the Blue Raiders are +133.)
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Game Info for New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee
- Game Day: Saturday, November 4, 2023
- Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Las Cruces, New Mexico
- Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | -3 | -110 | -109 | 56 | -110 | -110 | -157 | +133 |
New Mexico State Pick Insights
- New Mexico State is 4-2-1 ATS this season.
- In games it has played as at least 3-point favorites this season, New Mexico State is 2-1 against the spread.
- In New Mexico State’s seven games with a set total, two have hit the over (28.6%).
New Mexico State Stats & Insights
- From an offensive standpoint, New Mexico State ranks 44th in the FBS with 427.1 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 65th in total defense (373 yards allowed per contest).
- New Mexico State is averaging 29.4 points per game on offense (60th in the FBS), and ranks 42nd on defense with 21.4 points allowed per game.
- New Mexico State is putting up 221.7 passing yards per game on offense this year (75th in the FBS), and is giving up 243.9 passing yards per game (98th) on the other side of the ball.
- Offensively, New Mexico State has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 15th-best in the FBS by averaging 205.4 per game. The Aggies rank 48th on defense (129.1 rushing yards allowed per game).
- New Mexico State is putting up a 40.4% third-down percentage on offense this year (64th in the FBS), and is giving up a 37.1% third-down conversion rate (62nd) on defense.
- With seven forced turnovers (113th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (25th in the FBS), New Mexico State (-1) owns the 74th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
New Mexico State’s Best Players
- Pavia has thrown for 1,896 yards, completing 61.1% of his passes and collecting 17 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He’s also run for 603 yards (67 ypg) on 102 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
- This season, Ahmonte Watkins has carried the ball 41 times for 459 yards (51 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Jonathan Brady’s leads his squad with 388 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 23 catches (out of 35 targets) and scored three touchdowns.
- Trent Hudson has caught 16 passes for 319 yards (35.4 yards per game) and six touchdowns this year.
- Chris Bellamy has hauled in 13 grabs for 203 yards, an average of 22.6 yards per game. He’s scored one time as a receiver this season.
- Buddha Peleti has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has three TFL and 24 tackles.
- Keyshaun Elliott is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s collected 60 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
- Torren Union has picked off a team-leading one pass. He also has 11 tackles and one pass defended to his name.
Middle Tennessee Betting Insights
- Middle Tennessee is 3-5-0 against the spread this year.
- When it has played as at least 3-point underdogs this season, Middle Tennessee is 2-2 against the spread.
- In Middle Tennessee’s eight games with a set total, four have hit the over (50%).
Middle Tennessee Pick Insights
- Middle Tennessee’s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, ceding 416.4 total yards per game, which ranks 23rd-worst. On offense, it ranks 66th with 393.9 total yards per contest.
- Middle Tennessee has been sputtering on defense, ranking 16th-worst with 33.1 points allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, generating 23.8 points per contest (95th-ranked).
- With 275.4 passing yards per game on offense, Middle Tennessee ranks 33rd in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 103rd, giving up 247.6 passing yards per game.
- Middle Tennessee is putting up 118.5 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (106th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 168.8 rushing yards per contest (100th-ranked) on defense.
- Middle Tennessee’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit on third down this season, surrendering a 45.7% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 47th with a 45.7% third-down rate.
- Middle Tennessee has forced nine turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 15 times, leading to a -6 turnover margin that is 15th-worst in the FBS.
Middle Tennessee’s Best Players
- Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,151 yards (268.9 ypg) to lead Middle Tennessee, completing 68.1% of his passes and recording 15 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 172 yards (21.5 ypg) on 88 carries with two touchdowns.
- Jaiden Credle is his team’s leading rusher with 70 carries for 366 yards, or 45.8 per game. He’s found the end zone two times on the ground, as well.
- Elijah Metcalf paces his squad with 483 receiving yards on 40 catches with five touchdowns.
- Holden Willis has 31 receptions (on 40 targets) for a total of 473 yards (59.1 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
- Justin Olson’s 45 targets have resulted in 35 receptions for 395 yards and one touchdown.
- Sam Brumfield paces the team with 2.5 sacks. He’s also the team’s tackle leader, and has collected one TFL and 36 tackles.
- Tra Fluellen has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 28 tackles and two passes defended.
