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The New England Patriots (2-6) play the Washington Commanders (3-5) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, November 5, 2023.
The Patriots are putting up 284.8 yards per game offensively this season (26th in NFL), and they are giving up 321.1 yards per game (10th) on the other side of the ball. The Commanders have not been getting things done on defense, ranking second-worst with 28.5 points allowed per game. They have been better on offense, posting 21.4 points per contest (17th-ranked).
Patriots vs. Commanders Picks
Splash Inc. users think the Commanders will win straight up as underdogs and also cover against the Patriots, with 59.1% of users picking them to win and 100.0% picking them to cover the 3.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Patriots vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, November 5, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
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If you are planning on making a wager on New England-Washington contest (in which New England is a 3.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 40.5 points), below are some betting insights and trends for Sunday’s game.
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
- Patriots games with a set total have hit the over three times this season (37.5%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots rank 26th in the NFL with 284.8 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in total defense (321.1 yards allowed per contest).
- The Patriots have been a bottom-five scoring offense this year, ranking second-worst with 14.8 points per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they are ranked 26th in the NFL (26 points allowed per game).
- The Patriots are putting up 200.4 passing yards per game on offense this year (20th in NFL), and they are giving up 223.3 passing yards per game (17th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Patriots are compiling 84.4 rushing yards per game on offense (27th in the NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 97.9 rushing yards allowed per game.
- The Patriots are posting a 34% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 25th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 12th, allowing a 37.6% third-down conversion rate.
- The Patriots are gaining 4.9 yards per play on offense (27th in the league), while sporting the third-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5.1) this season.
- The Patriots have the fourth-worst turnover margin in the NFL at -6, forcing seven turnovers (27th in NFL) while turning it over 13 times (23rd in NFL).
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,641 PASS YDS / 205.1 YPG / 66.5% / 9 TD / 8 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 97 CAR / 307 YDS / 38.4 YPG / 2 TD / 25 REC / 173 YDS / 21.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 67 CAR / 260 YDS / 32.5 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 7.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 37 REC / 406 YDS / 50.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Hunter Henry: 23 REC / 238 YDS / 29.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 19 REC / 222 YDS / 31.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 55 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- The Commanders are 3-4-1 against the spread this season.
- The Commanders have a 2-1-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Commanders games have hit the over in four out of eight opportunities (50%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders rank 20th in total yards per game (319.6), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 374.1 total yards conceded per contest.
- The Commanders rank 17th in points per game (21.4), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 28.5 points ceded per contest.
- The Commanders have been struggling in pass defense, ranking fourth-worst with 256.8 passing yards given up per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, putting up 233.8 passing yards per contest (12th-ranked).
- In terms of rushing, the Commanders rank 26th in the NFL on offense (85.9 rushing yards per game) and 21st on defense (117.4 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Commanders’ offense has been struggling on third down, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with a 33% third-down conversion percentage. They have been more productive defensively, allowing a 41.1% third-down rate (22nd-ranked).
- With 5.6 yards per play on offense, the Commanders rank 12th in the NFL. On defense they rank 26th, surrendering 5.9 yards per play.
- At 0, the Commanders sport the 15th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 12 forced turnovers (10th in NFL) and 12 turnovers committed (19th in NFL).
Best Players for Commanders
- Sam Howell: 2,146 PASS YDS / 268.3 YPG / 66.9% / 13 TD / 8 INT / 24 CAR / 130 RUSH YDS / 1 TD
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 95 CAR / 384 YDS / 48 YPG / 4 TD / 13 REC / 133 YDS / 16.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 42 REC / 495 YDS / 61.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 35 REC / 332 YDS / 41.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 30 REC / 291 YDS / 36.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Kamren Curl: 65 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 PD
