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Two star rushers will be on display when Kimani Vidal and the Troy Trojans (5-2) visit Ismail Mahdi and the Texas State Bobcats (5-2) on Saturday, October 28, 2023.
The Bobcats are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+6.5), against the Trojans (with an over/under of 53 points).
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Game Info for Troy vs. Texas State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 28, 2023
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: San Marcos, Texas
- Stadium: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -6.5 | -114 | -106 | 53 | -109 | -111 | -252 | +205 |
Troy Pick Insights
- Troy has posted a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games it has played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, Troy is 1-0 against the spread.
- Out of Troy’s six games with a set total, one has hit the over (16.7%).
Troy Stats & Insights
- Troy has been a handful for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (25th-best with 444.7 yards per game) and total defense (10th-best with 281.6 yards allowed per game) this season.
- Troy sports the 80th-ranked offense this year (26.6 points per game), and has been better defensively, ranking 17th-best with just 17.4 points allowed per game.
- Defensively, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 18th-best by allowing only 183 passing yards per game. The Trojans rank 44th on offense (259.1 passing yards per game).
- Troy sports the 32nd-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (185.6 per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 17th-best with only 98.6 rushing yards allowed per game.
- Troy ranks 71st in third-down percentage this year (39.8%), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with a 32.3% third-down conversion rate allowed.
- With 11 forced turnovers (51st in the FBS) against 13 turnovers committed (104th in the FBS), Troy’s -2-2 turnover margin ranks 85th in college football.
Troy’s Best Players
- Gunnar Watson has 1,765 passing yards for Troy, completing 59.4% of his passes and recording 11 touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Vidal, has carried the ball 154 times for 951 yards (135.9 per game), scoring six times. He’s also caught 10 passes for 140 yards and one touchdown.
- This season, Damien Taylor has carried the ball 40 times for 242 yards (34.6 per game) and one touchdown.
- Jabre Barber’s 455 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 56 times and has registered 29 receptions and two touchdowns.
- Chris Lewis has put up a 363-yard season so far with four touchdowns, hauling in 15 passes on 33 targets.
- Deshon Stoudemire has a total of 308 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 23 passes.
- Javon Solomon has 5.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has four TFL and 22 tackles.
- Jayden McDonald, Troy’s top tackler, has 42 tackles, six TFL, and one sack this year.
- Reddy Steward leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 20 tackles, three TFL, and two passes defended.
Texas State Betting Insights
- Texas State’s ATS record is 3-3-0 this year.
- Texas State is 2-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- In Texas State’s six games with a set total, two have hit the over (33.3%).
Texas State Pick Insights
- While Texas State’s defense has been sputtering, ranking 25th-worst by giving up 409.6 total yards per game, its offense ranks 12th-best with 477.1 total yards per contest.
- Texas State’s offense has been excelling, accumulating 38.3 points per contest (11th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 92nd by allowing 28.4 points per game.
- Texas State ranks 37th in the FBS with 268.4 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 105th with 248 passing yards surrendered per contest on defense.
- Texas State’s run defense ranks 98th in the FBS with 161.6 rushing yards surrendered per contest, but it has been led by its offense, which ranks 15th-best by posting 208.7 rushing yards per game.
- On defense, Texas State is a bottom-25 unit on third down, surrendering a 48.3% third-down conversion rate (eighth-worst). Fortunately, it is thriving on the offensive side of the ball, producing a 48.3% third-down rate (21st-best).
- At 0, Texas State sports the 67th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 11 forced turnovers (51st in the FBS) and 11 turnovers committed (80th in the FBS).
Texas State’s Best Players
- TJ Finley has 1,842 passing yards, or 263.1 per game, so far this season. He has completed 68.9% of his passes and has tossed 14 touchdowns with three interceptions.
- Mahdi has rushed 98 times for 726 yards, with eight touchdowns.
- Donerio Davenport has totaled 223 yards on 51 carries with one touchdown.
- Joey Hobert has hauled in 612 receiving yards on 48 receptions to pace his squad so far this season while scoring six touchdowns as a receiver.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has 31 receptions (on 52 targets) for a total of 395 yards (56.4 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Kole Wilson’s 39 targets have resulted in 30 grabs for 373 yards and four touchdowns.
- Ben Bell leads the team with three sacks, and also has seven TFL and 30 tackles.
- Brian Holloway is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s racked up 54 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception.
- Shawn Holton leads the team with one interception, while also putting up 42 tackles and one pass defended.
