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One of the top rushers in college football will be featured when Ismail Mahdi and the Texas State Bobcats (3-1) visit the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023.
The Golden Eagles are expected to lose by at least a touchdown (currently +7.5) versus the Bobcats (with an over/under of 62.5 points).
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Game Info for Texas State vs. Southern Miss
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
- Stadium: M.M. Roberts Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | -7.5 | -109 | -111 | 62.5 | -110 | -110 | -268 | +217 |
Texas State Pick Insights
- Texas State is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- Texas State has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 7.5 points or more this season (0-1).
- Texas State has combined with its opponent to go over in one of three games with a set total (33.3%).
Texas State Stats & Insights
- Texas State owns the 104th-ranked defense this year (412.3 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 15th-best with a tally of 485.3 yards per game.
- Offensively, Texas State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 13th-best in the FBS by compiling 41.8 points per game. The Bobcats rank 87th on defense (27.3 points allowed per game).
- Texas State has the 40th-ranked passing offense this season (273 passing yards per game), and has been worse defensively, ranking 15th-worst with 276.5 passing yards allowed per game.
- Texas State ranks 74th in run defense this year (135.8 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking 17th-best in the FBS with 212.3 rushing yards per game.
- In addition to a 50% third-down conversion rate allowed on defense, which ranks 12th-worst in the FBS, Texas State has put up the 68th-ranked third-down conversion rate (40.9%) on offense.
- Texas State has the 34th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing seven turnovers (33rd in the FBS) while turning it over five times (50th in the FBS).
Texas State’s Best Players
- TJ Finley has racked up 1,055 yards (263.8 ypg) on 80-of-112 passing with eight touchdowns compared to one interception this season.
- Mahdi has carried the ball 36 times for a team-high 399 yards on the ground and has found the end zone four times. He’s also tacked on four catches for 77 yards (19.3 per game) and one touchdown via the pass.
- Malik Hornsby has racked up 146 yards on 11 attempts, scoring three times.
- Kole Wilson’s leads his squad with 277 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 17 receptions (out of 19 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
- Joey Hobert has put together a 244-yard season so far with two touchdowns, hauling in 20 passes on 25 targets.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has hauled in 17 grabs for 186 yards, an average of 46.5 yards per game. He’s scored one time as a receiver this season.
- Tavian Coleman leads the team with two sacks, and also has four TFL and 11 tackles.
- Brian Holloway, Texas State’s tackle leader, has 37 tackles, four TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.
- Tory Spears leads the team with one interception, while also recording 19 tackles and one pass defended.
Southern Miss Betting Insights
- Southern Miss has put together a 0-3-0 record against the spread this season.
- Southern Miss has not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 7.5 points or more this year (0-2).
- Two of Southern Miss’ three games with a set total have hit the over (66.7%).
Southern Miss Pick Insights
- In terms of total offense, Southern Miss ranks 101st in the FBS (337.5 total yards per game) and 84th on defense (379.8 total yards allowed per contest).
- Southern Miss’ defense has been a bottom-25 unit in scoring defense this season, allowing 36.3 points per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 92nd with 23.3 points per contest.
- Southern Miss ranks 98th in the FBS with 210.5 passing yards per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 23rd-best by surrendering just 177.8 passing yards per contest.
- Southern Miss has been struggling against the run, ranking 13th-worst with 202 rushing yards given up per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, generating 127 rushing yards per contest (100th-ranked).
- Southern Miss’ third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling a 34.5% third-down percentage, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 59th with a 37.5% third-down rate allowed.
- With three forced turnovers (110th in the FBS) and four turnovers committed (30th in the FBS) this season, Southern Miss ranks 82nd in the FBS with a turnover margin of -1.
Southern Miss’ Best Players
- Billy Wiles has racked up 813 yards on 54.2% passing while tossing five touchdown passes with four interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Rodrigues Clark, has carried the ball 33 times for 234 yards (58.5 per game) with two touchdowns.
- Frank Gore Jr. has totaled 208 yards on 50 carries with two touchdowns.
- Jakarius Caston paces his team with 246 receiving yards on 13 catches with two touchdowns.
- Latreal Jones has 15 receptions (on 22 targets) for a total of 177 yards (44.3 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Tiaquelin Mims has racked up 122 reciving yards (30.5 ypg) this season.
- Josh Ratcliff has two sacks to lead the team, and also has one TFL and 11 tackles.
- Jay Stanley has been all over the field, leading the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has 20 tackles and two interceptions so far.
