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The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) have home-field advantage in the playoffs against the Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) in the AFC Championship game on Sunday, January 29, 2023 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs rank 16th in scoring defense this season (21.7 points allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 29.2 points per game. The Bengals’ defensive unit has been leading the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 20.1 points surrendered per contest. In terms of offense, they are posting 26.1 points per game, which ranks seventh.
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Chiefs vs. Bengals Picks
The Bengals are projected by BetterPool users to both cover the spread and win straight up as underdogs against the Chiefs on Sunday. Right now, 67.8% of users are projecting them to win the game and 60.5% are picking the Bengals to cover the 2-point spread.
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Game Info: Chiefs vs. Bengals
- Game Day: Sunday, January 29, 2023
- Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Read the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Sunday’s Kansas City-Cincinnati spread (Kansas City -2) or over/under (48 points).
Betting Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs compiled a 7-10-0 ATS record in the regular season, and are 0-1-0 in the playoffs.
- When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs), the Chiefs have an ATS record of 5-10.
- Chiefs games hit the over eight out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the postseason.
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have the 11th-ranked defense this season (328.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking best with 413.6 yards per game.
- The Chiefs rank 16th in scoring defense this season (21.7 points allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 29.2 points per game.
- The Chiefs rank 18th in pass defense this year (220.9 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 297.8 passing yards per game.
- The Chiefs are totaling 115.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth, giving up 107.2 rushing yards per contest.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging a 48.7% third-down conversion rate. They rank 13th on defense (38.3% third-down percentage allowed).
- The Chiefs have the 11th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.5 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 6.6 yards per play.
- The Chiefs own the 22nd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at -3, forcing 20 turnovers (20th in NFL) while turning it over 23 times (17th in NFL).
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 5,250 PASS YDS / 308.8 YPG / 67.1% / 41 TD / 12 INT / 61 CAR / 358 RUSH YDS / 4 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 170 CAR / 830 YDS / 48.8 YPG / 5 TD / 13 REC / 130 YDS / 7.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Travis Kelce: 110 REC / 1,338 YDS / 78.7 YPG / 12 TD
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 78 REC / 933 YDS / 58.3 YPG / 3 TD
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 42 REC / 687 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Chris Jones: 44 TKL / 17 TFL / 15.5 SACK / 4 PD
- Nick Bolton: 180 TKL / 9 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 3 PD
- L’Jarius Sneed: 108 TKL / 5 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 3 INT / 11 PD
Betting Insights for Bengals
- The Bengals compiled a 12-4-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 1-1-0 in the playoffs.
- The Bengals have won each of their three games in the regular season and playoffs when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
- During the regular season, six Bengals games hit the over. Their games have exceeded the total in one of two postseason opportunities.
Stats & Insights for Bengals
- With 360.5 total yards per game on offense, the Bengals rank eighth in the NFL in 2022. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 335.7 total yards per game.
- The Bengals have been keeping opposing offenses in check on defense, giving up only 20.1 points per contest (fifth-best). Offensively, they rank seventh by piling up 26.1 points per game.
- The Bengals’ pass offense has been thriving, racking up 265 passing yards per game (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 23rd by allowing 229.1 passing yards per game.
- The Bengals’ running game has been struggling, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 95.5 rushing yards per game. They have been better defensively, giving up 106.6 rushing yards per contest (seventh-ranked).
- The Bengals’ third-down defense ranks 20th in the NFL with a 39.6% third-down conversion rate allowed, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks third-best by compiling a 46.1% third-down rate.
- From an offensive perspective, the Bengals are generating 5.7 yards per play (12th-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.6 yards allowed per play).
- The Bengals own a +6 turnover margin this season, which ranks sixth in the NFL.
Best Players for Bengals
- Joe Burrow: 4,475 PASS YDS / 279.7 YPG / 68.3% / 35 TD / 12 INT / 75 CAR / 257 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
- Joe Mixon: 210 CAR / 814 YDS / 58.1 YPG / 7 TD / 60 REC / 441 YDS / 31.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Samaje Perine: 95 CAR / 394 YDS / 24.6 YPG / 2 TD / 38 REC / 287 YDS / 17.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Ja’Marr Chase: 87 REC / 1,046 YDS / 87.2 YPG / 9 TD
- Tee Higgins: 74 REC / 1,029 YDS / 64.3 YPG / 7 TD
- Tyler Boyd: 58 REC / 762 YDS / 47.6 YPG / 5 TD
- Trey Hendrickson: 32 TKL / 6 TFL / 8 SACK / 3 PD
- Logan Wilson: 123 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT / 4 PD
- Vonn Bell: 77 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT / 8 PD
