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In the AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) and Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) meet at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, January 21, 2023.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by averaging 29.2 points per game. They rank 16th on defense (21.7 points allowed per game). The Jaguars are compiling 23.8 points per game on offense this season (10th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 20.6 points per game (12th-ranked) on defense.
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Chiefs vs. Jaguars Picks
Right now, 92.4% of BetterPool users are picking the Chiefs to win and 61.8% expect them to cover the 9.5-point spread as well against the Jaguars on Saturday.
For all your best pick data from America’s #1 independent pool site, head here.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Jaguars
- Game Day: Saturday, January 21, 2023
- Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBC
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Kansas City (-9.5) versus Jacksonville on Saturday. The total is set at 52.5 points for this game.
Betting Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have a 7-10-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have a 3-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
- Chiefs games have gone over the point total on eight of 17 occasions (47.1%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs rank 11th in total defense this year (328.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 413.6 total yards per game.
- Offensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 29.2 points per game. They rank 16th on defense (21.7 points allowed per game).
- On offense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 297.8 per game. They rank 18th on defense (220.9 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Chiefs are averaging 115.9 rushing yards per game on offense (20th in the NFL), and they rank eighth on the other side of the ball with 107.2 rushing yards allowed per game.
- Offensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging a 48.7% third-down conversion rate. They rank 13th on defense (38.3% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Chiefs rank 11th in yards per play allowed this season (5.5), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 6.6 yards per play.
- The Chiefs own the 22nd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at -3, forcing 20 turnovers (20th in NFL) while turning it over 23 times (17th in NFL).
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 5,250 PASS YDS / 308.8 YPG / 67.1% / 41 TD / 12 INT / 61 CAR / 358 RUSH YDS / 4 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 170 CAR / 830 YDS / 48.8 YPG / 5 TD / 13 REC / 130 YDS / 7.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Travis Kelce: 110 REC / 1,338 YDS / 78.7 YPG / 12 TD
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 78 REC / 933 YDS / 58.3 YPG / 3 TD
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 42 REC / 687 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Chris Jones: 44 TKL / 17 TFL / 15.5 SACK / 4 PD
- Nick Bolton: 180 TKL / 9 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 3 PD
- Juan Thornhill: 71 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT / 9 PD
Betting Insights for Jaguars
- The Jaguars compiled an 8-9-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
- The Jaguars have not covered the spread in the regular season and playoffs (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
- A total of eight Jaguars games went over the point total during the regular season. Meanwhile, one of one games have topped the total in the postseason.
Stats & Insights for Jaguars
- From an offensive angle, the Jaguars are compiling 357.4 total yards per game (10th-ranked). They rank 24th in the NFL defensively (353.3 total yards given up per game).
- The Jaguars are accumulating 23.8 points per contest on offense this season (10th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 20.6 points per game (12th-ranked) on defense.
- The Jaguars rank 10th in passing yards per game (232.9), but they’ve been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 238.5 passing yards surrendered per contest.
- The Jaguars are accumulating 124.5 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (14th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 114.8 rushing yards per contest (12th-ranked) on defense.
- The Jaguars have been struggling on third down, ranking fourth-worst with a 43.2% third-down conversion percentage allowed per game. They have been more effective offensively, generating a 41.9% third-down rate (ninth-ranked).
- In terms of yards per play, the Jaguars rank 10th in the NFL (5.8) and 13th defensively (5.6 yards allowed per play).
- After forcing 27 turnovers (fourth in NFL) and turning the ball over 21 times (eighth in NFL) this season, the Jaguars sport the sixth-ranked turnover margin of +6.
Best Players for Jaguars
- Trevor Lawrence: 4,113 PASS YDS / 241.9 YPG / 66.3% / 25 TD / 8 INT / 62 CAR / 291 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
- Travis Etienne: 220 CAR / 1,125 YDS / 66.2 YPG / 5 TD / 35 REC / 316 YDS / 18.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Christian Kirk: 84 REC / 1,108 YDS / 65.2 YPG / 8 TD
- Zay Jones: 82 REC / 823 YDS / 51.4 YPG / 5 TD
- Evan Engram: 73 REC / 766 YDS / 45.1 YPG / 4 TD
- Josh Allen: 57 TKL / 11 TFL / 6 SACK / 2 PD
- Foyesade Oluokun: 184 TKL / 11 TFL / 2 SACK / 5 PD
- Andre Cisco: 70 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT / 10 PD
