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The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) have home-field advantage in the playoffs against the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) in the AFC Divisional round on Saturday, January 21, 2023 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Offensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 29.2 points per game. They rank 16th on defense (21.7 points allowed per game). The Jaguars are generating 357.4 total yards per contest on offense this season (10th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 353.3 total yards per game (24th-ranked).
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Chiefs vs. Jaguars Picks
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Game Info: Chiefs vs. Jaguars
- Game Day: Saturday, January 21, 2023
- Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBC
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City is an 8.5-point favorite over Jacksonville on Saturday and the total has been set at 52 points. Keep reading for some betting trends and insights to help you make an informed wager on the contest.
Betting Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have a 7-10-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have a 4-4 record against the spread in games they were favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
- Eight of the Chiefs’ 17 games with a set total have hit the over (47.1%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs rank 11th in total defense this season (328.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 413.6 total yards per game.
- The Chiefs own the 16th-ranked defense this year (21.7 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 29.2 points per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 297.8 per game. They rank 18th on defense (220.9 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Chiefs are averaging 115.9 rushing yards per game on offense this season (20th in NFL), and they are surrendering 107.2 rushing yards per game (eighth) on defense.
- The Chiefs rank 13th in third-down defense this year (38.3% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with a 48.7% third-down conversion rate.
- On offense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking best in the NFL by compiling 6.6 yards per play. They rank 11th on defense (5.5 yards per play allowed).
- With 20 forced turnovers (20th in NFL) against 23 turnovers committed (17th in NFL), the Chiefs (-3) have the 22nd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 5,250 PASS YDS / 308.8 YPG / 67.1% / 41 TD / 12 INT / 61 CAR / 358 RUSH YDS / 4 TD
- Isaih Pacheco: 170 CAR / 830 YDS / 48.8 YPG / 5 TD / 13 REC / 130 YDS / 7.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Travis Kelce: 110 REC / 1,338 YDS / 78.7 YPG / 12 TD
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 78 REC / 933 YDS / 58.3 YPG / 3 TD
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 42 REC / 687 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Chris Jones: 44 TKL / 17 TFL / 15.5 SACK / 4 PD
- Nick Bolton: 180 TKL / 9 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 3 PD
- Juan Thornhill: 71 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT / 9 PD
Betting Insights for Jaguars
- The Jaguars have an 8-9-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Jaguars have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 8.5 points or more this year (0-1).
- In the Jaguars’ 17 games with a set total, eight have hit the over (47.1%).
Stats & Insights for Jaguars
- In terms of total yards, the Jaguars rank 10th in the NFL (357.4 total yards per game) and 24th on defense (353.3 total yards allowed per contest).
- With 23.8 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Jaguars rank 10th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 12th, surrendering 20.6 points per game.
- The Jaguars rank 10th in passing yards per game (232.9), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 238.5 passing yards allowed per contest.
- The Jaguars are generating 124.5 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (14th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 114.8 rushing yards per contest (12th-ranked) on defense.
- The Jaguars rank ninth in third-down conversion rate (41.9%) on offense, but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with a 43.2% third-down percentage allowed.
- From an offensive perspective, the Jaguars are generating 5.8 yards per play (10th-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL on defense (5.6 yards allowed per play).
- With 27 forced turnovers (fourth in NFL) and 21 turnovers committed (eighth in NFL) this season, the Jaguars rank sixth in the NFL with a turnover margin of +6.
Best Players for Jaguars
- Trevor Lawrence: 4,113 PASS YDS / 241.9 YPG / 66.3% / 25 TD / 8 INT / 62 CAR / 291 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
- Travis Etienne: 220 CAR / 1,125 YDS / 66.2 YPG / 5 TD / 35 REC / 316 YDS / 18.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Christian Kirk: 84 REC / 1,108 YDS / 65.2 YPG / 8 TD
- Zay Jones: 82 REC / 823 YDS / 51.4 YPG / 5 TD
- Evan Engram: 73 REC / 766 YDS / 45.1 YPG / 4 TD
- Josh Allen: 57 TKL / 11 TFL / 6 SACK / 2 PD
- Foyesade Oluokun: 184 TKL / 11 TFL / 2 SACK / 5 PD
- Tyson Campbell: 70 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 15 PD
