Baylor Bears vs. Texas State Bobcats Betting Lines & Preview | NCAAFB Week 3

The Texas State Bobcats (1-1) will visit the Baylor Bears (1-1) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET.

The Bobcats are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +30) against the Bears (with an over/under of 53 points).

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Game Info and Betting Lines for Baylor vs. Texas State

• Game Day: Saturday, September 17, 2022
• Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Waco, Texas
• Stadium: McLane Stadium

Baylor Betting Insights

• Baylor compiled a 10-4-0 record against the spread last season.
• Baylor covered the spread when playing as at least 30-point favorites in its only opportunity last season.
• Last season, five Baylor games went over the point total.

Baylor Stats & Insights

• Baylor scored 31.6 points per game last season, comparable to the 33.0 per outing Texas State allowed.
• Baylor was 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall last season when the team notched more than 33.0 points.
• Last season Texas State had a 6-1 record against the spread and a 4-3 record overall in games when it held opponents to fewer than 31.6 points.
• Baylor racked up just 10.0 fewer yards per game (422.3) than Texas State allowed per matchup (432.3) last season.
• When Baylor totaled over 432.3 yards last season, the team was 4-1 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
• When Texas State held its opponents to fewer than 422.3 yards last season, it had a 4-1 record ATS and a 2-3 record overall.
• Last year Baylor piled up 216.6 yards per game on the ground, 31.1 more than Texas State allowed per contest (185.5).
• Last season Baylor had a 5-1 ATS record and a 6-0 overall record in games the team rushed for more than 185.5 yards.
• Texas State was 6-3 against the spread and 4-5 overall when holding opponents to less than 216.6 rushing yards last season.
• Baylor turned the ball over 15 times last season, three more turnovers than Texas State forced (12).

Baylor’s Best Players

• Gerry Bohanon’s previous season stat line: 2,237 passing yards (159.8 per game), 175-for-278 (62.9%), 18 touchdowns and seven picks. He also ran for 316 yards on 74 carries with nine rushing TDs.
• Last season Abram Smith took 257 rushing attempts for 1,574 yards (112.4 per game) and scored 12 touchdowns.
• Trestan Ebner churned out 800 yards on 149 carries (57.1 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns last year. He was also successful in the air, catching 28 passes for 284 yards (20.3 per game) and two TDs.
• In the previous year, Tyquan Thornton grabbed 62 passes (on 106 targets) for 948 yards (67.7 per game). He also found the end zone 10 times.
• R.J. Sneed also impressed receiving last year. He had 45 receptions for 564 yards and two touchdowns. He was targeted 63 times.
• Drew Estrada reeled in 30 passes on 46 targets for 367 yards and one touchdown, averaging 26.2 receiving yards per game.
• Terrel Bernard’s stat line last season spoke for itself with 7.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL and 78 tackles.
• Last season JT Woods had a huge stat line of six interceptions, 41 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and six passes defended.

Texas State Betting Insights

• Texas State compiled a 7-5-0 record against the spread last season.
• Last year, five Texas State games hit the over.

Texas State Stats & Insights

• Texas State scored 4.8 more points per game (23.1) than Baylor surrendered (18.3) last season.
• When Texas State recorded over 18.3 points last year, it was 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall.
• Baylor had a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall in games when it allowed fewer than 23.1 points last year.
• Texas State averaged just 3.7 fewer yards per game (343.7) than Baylor gave up (347.4) per contest last season.
• When Texas State picked up more than 347.4 yards last season, the team was 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall.
• In games Baylor kept its opponents to less than 343.7 yards last season, it had a 6-1 record ATS and a 7-0 record overall.
• Last season Texas State piled up 150.0 yards per game on the ground, 30.4 more than Baylor allowed per outing (119.6).
• Texas State had a 5-3 ATS record and a 4-4 overall record when the team ran for more than 119.6 yards last year.
• Baylor was 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 overall when holding opponents to less than 150.0 rushing yards last season.
• Texas State turned the ball over 20 times last season, seven fewer times than Baylor forced turnovers (27).

Texas State’s Best Players

• Brady McBride averaged 125.7 pass yards per outing and tossed 12 touchdowns last season. In addition, he added 11.9 yards on the ground per game with one rushing touchdown.
• Calvin Hill racked up three rushing touchdowns on 59.0 yards per game last season.
• Last season Jahmyl Jeter rushed for 383 yards. He also scored eight total touchdowns.
• Javen Banks averaged 45.4 yards on three receptions per game and racked up five receiving touchdowns in 2021.
• Marcell Barbee caught 40 passes last season on his way to 524 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
• Ashtyn Hawkins caught 29 passes on his way to 290 receiving yards and one touchdown a season ago.
• Issiah Nixon proved to be a relentless defender last year, recording 4.0 sacks, 2.0 TFL and 31 tackles.
• Markeveon Coleman was a force on the field last season with 52 tackles.
• Last year DeJordan Mask picked off one pass to go along with 29 tackles and one pass defended.