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The Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) clash with the Miami Dolphins (11-6) in the AFC Wild Card round of the playoffs on Saturday, January 13, 2024 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
On defense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best by giving up only 289.8 yards per game. They rank ninth on offense (351.3 yards per game). The Dolphins’ defense ranks 10th in the NFL with 318.3 total yards given up per contest, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks best by compiling 401.3 total yards per game.
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Picks
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Saturday, January 13, 2024
- Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
- TV Channel: Peacock
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Kansas City is a 5-point favorite against Miami on Saturday and the total is set at 43.5 points. Here’s some betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the matchup.
Game Trends for Chiefs
- So far this season, the Chiefs have compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 5-point favorites this season, the Chiefs are 6-4 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in five of the Chiefs’ 17 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs rank ninth in total offense this year (351.3 yards per game), but they’ve been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 289.8 yards allowed per game.
- On defense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best by allowing only 17.3 points per game. They rank 15th on offense (21.8 points per game).
- The Chiefs have the sixth-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (246.4 passing yards per game), and they’ve been better defensively, ranking fourth-best with just 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are putting up 104.9 rushing yards per game on offense this season (19th in NFL), and they are giving up 113.2 rushing yards per game (17th) on the other side of the ball.
- The Chiefs rank sixth in third-down efficiency (43.6%) on offense and 10th in third-down percentage allowed (37.1%) on defense this season.
- This season, the Chiefs are gaining 5.7 yards per play on offense (11th in the league), while sporting the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5).
- The Chiefs own the fifth-worst turnover margin in the NFL at -11, forcing 17 turnovers (27th in NFL) while turning it over 28 times (23rd in NFL).
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 4,183 PASS YDS / 261.4 YPG / 67.2% / 27 TD / 14 INT / 75 CAR / 389 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 205 CAR / 935 YDS / 66.8 YPG / 7 TD / 44 REC / 244 YDS / 17.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Travis Kelce: 93 REC / 984 YDS / 65.6 YPG / 5 TD
- Rashee Rice: 79 REC / 938 YDS / 58.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Justin Watson: 27 REC / 460 YDS / 30.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Justin Reid: 95 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT / 7 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have a 10-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- The teams have hit the over in nine of the Dolphins’ 17 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving, compiling 401.3 total yards per contest (best) this season. On defense, they rank 10th by surrendering 318.3 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 29.2 points per contest. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 23 points per game, which ranks 22nd.
- The Dolphins’ pass offense has been dominant, compiling 265.5 passing yards per game (best) this season. Defensively, they rank 15th by allowing 221.2 passing yards per game.
- With 135.8 rushing yards per game on offense, the Dolphins rank sixth in the NFL. On defense they rank seventh, surrendering 97.1 rushing yards per game.
- With a 42.1% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Dolphins rank seventh in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 20th, surrendering a 38.9% third-down rate.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 6.7 yards per play. In terms of defense, they are allowing 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 12th.
- At +2, the Dolphins sport the 12th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 27 forced turnovers (eighth in NFL) and 25 turnovers committed (21st in NFL).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 4,624 PASS YDS / 272 YPG / 69.3% / 29 TD / 14 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 209 CAR / 1,012 YDS / 67.5 YPG / 18 TD / 25 REC / 175 YDS / 11.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Devon Achane: 103 CAR / 800 YDS / 72.7 YPG / 8 TD / 27 REC / 197 YDS / 17.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 119 REC / 1,799 YDS / 112.4 YPG / 13 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 72 REC / 1,014 YDS / 72.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Durham Smythe: 35 REC / 366 YDS / 28.2 YPG / 0 TD
- David Long: 110 TKL / 9 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 PD
