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The Buffalo Bills (10-6) visit the Miami Dolphins (11-5) on Sunday, January 7, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium and will aim to continue a four-game winning streak.
The Bills have been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (fifth-best with 26.9 points per game) and scoring defense (fourth-best with 18.6 points allowed per game) this season. The Dolphins’ offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 30.1 points per contest. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 23.1 points per game, which ranks 21st.
Bills vs. Dolphins Picks
The Bills are projected by Splash Inc. users to both win straight up and cover the spread against the Dolphins on Sunday. Right now, 57.4% of users are picking them to win and 60.3% expect the Bills to cover the 3-point spread.
Game Info: Bills vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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See these betting insights and trends before you bet on Sunday’s Buffalo-Miami spread (Buffalo -3) or total (48 points).
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have gone 6-10-0 ATS this season.
- The Bills are 3-7 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
- The Bills have hit the over in six of their 16 games with a set total (37.5%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 368.3 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (309.2 yards allowed per game).
- The Bills have been making things happen on both sides of the ball this season, as they rank fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.6 points allowed per game).
- The Bills are compiling 238.1 passing yards per game on offense (10th in the NFL), and they rank seventh on the other side of the ball with 198.4 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Bills are averaging 130.3 rushing yards per game on offense this season (seventh in NFL), and they are giving up 110.8 rushing yards per game (15th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Bills own the 18th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (38.5% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking best with a 49% third-down conversion rate.
- This season, the Bills are putting up 5.8 yards per play (sixth in the league), while giving up 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL).
- The Bills rank 11th in the NFL with a +3 turnover margin after forcing 28 turnovers (second in the NFL) while committing 25 (23rd in the NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,947 PASS YDS / 246.7 YPG / 65.6% / 27 TD / 16 INT / 96 CAR / 457 RUSH YDS / 15 TD
- James Cook: 224 CAR / 1,086 YDS / 67.9 YPG / 2 TD / 41 REC / 429 YDS / 26.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 100 REC / 1,096 YDS / 68.5 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 45 REC / 746 YDS / 49.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 66 REC / 589 YDS / 39.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 134 TKL / 10 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have a 10-6-0 record against the spread this year.
- When they have played as at least 3-point underdogs this year, the Dolphins are 1-2 against the spread.
- The Dolphins have gone over in nine of their 16 games with a set total (56.2%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been consistently moving the chains, posting 409.2 total yards per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank ninth by allowing 308.6 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 30.1 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 23.1 points per game, which ranks 21st.
- The Dolphins’ pass offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 271.7 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are giving up 213.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 12th.
- The Dolphins’ run defense ranks sixth in the NFL with 95.1 rushing yards surrendered per contest, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by piling up 137.5 rushing yards per contest.
- With a 42.2% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Dolphins rank eighth in the NFL. On defense, they rank 11th, allowing a 37.3% third-down rate.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving in terms of yards per play, piling up 6.7 (second-best) this season. Defensively, they rank ninth by giving up 5.4 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have produced 24 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) and committed 23 turnovers (19th in NFL) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 15th in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 4,451 PASS YDS / 278.2 YPG / 69.6% / 28 TD / 12 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 209 CAR / 1,012 YDS / 67.5 YPG / 18 TD / 25 REC / 175 YDS / 11.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Devon Achane: 93 CAR / 744 YDS / 74.4 YPG / 7 TD / 26 REC / 192 YDS / 19.2 YPG / 3 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 112 REC / 1,717 YDS / 114.5 YPG / 12 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 72 REC / 1,014 YDS / 72.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Durham Smythe: 32 REC / 336 YDS / 28 YPG / 0 TD
- David Long: 100 TKL / 9 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 PD
