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The Buffalo Bills (10-6) visit the Miami Dolphins (11-5) on Sunday, January 7, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium and will try to extend a four-game winning streak.
The Bills have been surging on both offense and defense, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.6 points allowed per game). The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving, putting up 30.1 points per game (best) this season. On defense, they rank 21st by giving up 23.1 points per game.
Bills vs. Dolphins Picks
Splash Inc. users are split on the Sunday NFL matchup between the Bills and the Dolphins. At the moment, 50.7% of users think the Dolphins will pick up an upest win, while 57.3% of users expect the Bills will cover as 3-point favorites.
Game Info: Bills vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Before placing a bet on Sunday’s Buffalo-Miami spread (Buffalo -3) or over/under (50 points), read the betting insights and trends below.
Game Trends for Bills
- So far this season, the Bills have put together a 6-10-0 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Bills are 3-7 against the spread.
- The Bills have hit the over in six of their 16 games with a set total (37.5%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 368.3 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (309.2 yards allowed per game).
- The Bills have been shining on both offense and defense, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.6 points allowed per game).
- From an offensive standpoint, the Bills rank 10th in the NFL with 238.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank seventh in passing yards allowed per contest (198.4).
- On offense, the Bills rank seventh in the NFL with 130.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 15th in rushing yards allowed per contest (110.8).
- The Bills rank 18th in third-down defense this year (38.5% third-down conversion rate allowed), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 49.0% third-down percentage.
- The Bills are accumulating 5.8 yards per play (sixth in the league), while allowing 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL) this season.
- The Bills own the 11th-ranked turnover margin in the league at +3, forcing 28 turnovers (second in NFL) while turning it over 25 times (23rd in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,947 PASS YDS / 246.7 YPG / 65.6% / 27 TD / 16 INT / 96 CAR / 457 RUSH YDS / 15 TD
- James Cook: 224 CAR / 1,086 YDS / 67.9 YPG / 2 TD / 41 REC / 429 YDS / 26.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 100 REC / 1,096 YDS / 68.5 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 45 REC / 746 YDS / 49.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 66 REC / 589 YDS / 39.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 134 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Dolphins have a 1-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in nine of the Dolphins’ 16 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 409.2 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 308.6 total yards per game, which ranks ninth.
- The Dolphins’ defense ranks 21st in the NFL with 23.1 points allowed per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks best by racking up 30.1 points per game.
- The Dolphins’ pass defense ranks 12th in the NFL with 213.5 passing yards given up per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks best by racking up 271.7 passing yards per contest.
- The Dolphins’ rushing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 137.5 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, they are giving up 95.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks seventh.
- The Dolphins are putting up a 42.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing a 37.3% third-down rate (11th-ranked) on defense.
- The Dolphins’ defense ranks ninth in the NFL with 5.4 yards given up per play, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks second-best by compiling 6.7 yards per play.
- With 24 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) and 23 turnovers committed (19th in NFL) this season, the Dolphins rank 15th in the NFL with a turnover margin of +1.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 4,451 PASS YDS / 278.2 YPG / 69.6% / 28 TD / 12 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 209 CAR / 1,012 YDS / 67.5 YPG / 18 TD / 25 REC / 175 YDS / 11.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Devon Achane: 93 CAR / 744 YDS / 74.4 YPG / 7 TD / 26 REC / 192 YDS / 19.2 YPG / 3 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 112 REC / 1,717 YDS / 114.5 YPG / 12 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 72 REC / 1,014 YDS / 72.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Durham Smythe: 32 REC / 336 YDS / 28.0 YPG / 0 TD
- David Long: 99 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 PD
