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The Washington Commanders (4-11) head into a matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (11-4) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at FedExField on a six-game losing streak.
The 49ers sport the 11th-ranked defense this year (312.3 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with 404.3 yards per game. The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, allowing 384.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst. On offense, they rank 19th with 327.5 total yards per contest.
49ers vs. Commanders Picks
At the moment, 96.6% of Splash Inc. users are picking the 49ers to win against the Commanders on Sunday, with 33.4% picking the Commanders to cover the 13-point spread.
Game Info: 49ers vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
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Before making an informed wager on San Francisco-Washington matchup (in which San Francisco is a 13-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 49.5 points), below are some betting trends and insights for Sunday’s game.
Game Trends for 49ers
- The 49ers have gone 8-7-0 ATS this season.
- In games they have played as at least 13-point favorites this season, the 49ers are 1-2 against the spread.
- 49ers games with a set total have hit the over eight times this season (53.3%).
Stats & Insights for 49ers
- The 49ers have the 11th-ranked defense this year (312.3 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking second-best with 404.3 yards per game.
- The 49ers have been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank third-best in scoring offense (29.6 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (17.8 points allowed per game).
- Offensively, the 49ers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging 265.7 per game. They rank 16th on defense (222 passing yards allowed per game).
- The 49ers have been thriving on both offense and defense in the running game, ranking fourth-best in rushing offense (138.7 rushing yards per game) and third-best in rushing defense (90.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Offensively, the 49ers have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by averaging a 47.5% third-down percentage. They rank 21st on defense (39.8% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The 49ers rank ninth in yards per play allowed this year (5.3), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 6.9 yards per play.
- With 25 forced turnovers (second in NFL) against 17 turnovers committed (10th in NFL), the 49ers’ +8 turnover margin is the fourth-best in the league.
Best Players for 49ers
- Brock Purdy: 4,050 PASS YDS / 270 YPG / 68.8% / 29 TD / 11 INT
- Christian McCaffrey: 258 CAR / 1,395 YDS / 93 YPG / 14 TD / 63 REC / 537 YDS / 35.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Deebo Samuel: 33 CAR / 179 YDS / 13.8 YPG / 5 TD / 53 REC / 834 YDS / 64.2 YPG / 6 TD
- Brandon Aiyuk: 65 REC / 1,203 YDS / 85.9 YPG / 6 TD
- George Kittle: 62 REC / 991 YDS / 66.1 YPG / 6 TD
- Fred Warner: 126 TKL / 6 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 4 INT / 11 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- The Commanders have a 6-8-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Commanders have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 13 points or more this year (0-1).
- Nine of the Commanders’ 15 games with a set total have hit the over (60%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, ceding 384.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst. Offensively, they rank 19th with 327.5 total yards per contest.
- The Commanders have not been getting things done on defense, ranking worst with 30.2 points surrendered per game. They have been more effective on offense, posting 20.6 points per contest (23rd-ranked).
- The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in pass defense this season, ceding 261.6 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 16th with 228.8 passing yards per contest.
- From an offensive perspective, the Commanders are accumulating 98.7 rushing yards per contest (21st-ranked). They rank 23rd in the NFL defensively (122.7 rushing yards allowed per game).
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Commanders rank 22nd in the NFL (36.5% third-down conversion rate) and 23rd on the other side of the ball (40.6% third-down rate allowed).
- The Commanders’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking fourth-worst at 6. They have been more productive on offense, compiling 5.5 yards per play (15th-ranked).
- The Commanders have a bottom-five turnover margin this season, second-worst at -10.
Best Players for Commanders
- Jacoby Brissett: 224 PASS YDS / 112 YPG / 78.3% / 3 TD / 0 INT
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 160 CAR / 664 YDS / 51.1 YPG / 5 TD / 29 REC / 326 YDS / 25.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Sam Howell: 43 CAR / 265 YDS / 17.7 YPG / 5 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 69 REC / 885 YDS / 59 YPG / 3 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 57 REC / 565 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 47 REC / 501 YDS / 33.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Kamren Curl: 106 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 PD
