Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals Picks & Preview | NCAAFB ACC Championship

The No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (12-0) take on the No. 15 Louisville Cardinals (10-2) in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday, December 2, 2023.

The Seminoles are slight favorites (-1.5) in their matchup against the Cardinals, with the over/under being 47.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Seminoles are -127 and the Cardinals are +106.)

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Game Info for Florida State vs. Louisville

• Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
• Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ABC
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Stadium: Bank of America Stadium

Florida State Pick Insights

• Florida State’s ATS record is 7-4-0 this season.
• In games it has played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, Florida State is 6-4 against the spread.
• Florida State games have gone over the point total on six of 11 occasions (54.5%).

Florida State Stats & Insights

• Defensively, Florida State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 20th-best by allowing only 315.6 yards per game. The offense ranks 32nd (431.8 yards per game).
• Florida State has been firing on all cylinders this season, as they rank 10th-best in scoring offense (38.8 points per game) and 11th-best in scoring defense (16.8 points allowed per game).
• Florida State has the 27th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (275.6 passing yards per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with only 175.4 passing yards allowed per game.
• Florida State ranks 67th in run offense (156.3 rushing yards per game) and 47th in run defense (140.2 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
• Florida State owns the 60th-ranked offense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (40.4% percentage), and has been better on defense, ranking fifth-best with a 28.3% third-down conversion rate allowed.
• Florida State has the fifth-best turnover margin in college football at +11, forcing 16 turnovers (67th in the FBS) while turning it over five times (first in the FBS).

Florida State’s Best Players

• Jordan Travis has thrown for 2,745 yards (228.8 ypg) to lead Florida State, completing 64.2% of his passes and tossing 20 touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 176 rushing yards on 73 carries with seven rushing touchdowns.
• Trey Benson has carried the ball 140 times for a team-high 868 yards on the ground and has found the end zone 14 times as a runner. He’s also tacked on 18 catches for 212 yards (17.7 per game) and one touchdown in the pass game.
• Lawrance Toafili has carried the ball 59 times for 345 yards (28.8 per game) and three touchdowns.
• Keon Coleman’s leads his squad with 639 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 46 catches (out of 81 targets) and scored 11 touchdowns.
• Johnny Wilson has hauled in 39 receptions totaling 596 yards, finding the end zone two times as a receiver so far this campaign.
• Jaheim Bell has a total of 503 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 39 passes and scoring two touchdowns.
• Kalen DeLoach leads the team with eight sacks. He’s also the team’s tackle leader, and has amassed nine TFL, 60 tackles, and one interception.
• Jarrian Jones has picked off a team-leading three passes. He also has 17 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and three passes defended to his name.

Louisville Betting Insights

• Louisville’s ATS record is 6-5-1 this year.
• Louisville is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.
• The teams have hit the over in six of Louisville’s 12 games with a set total.

Louisville Pick Insights

• Louisville’s defensive unit has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 19th-best in the FBS with 314.7 total yards ceded per game. In terms of offense, it is compiling 439.8 total yards per game, which ranks 26th.
• Louisville has been keeping opposing offenses in check on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 20 points per game (25th-best). On offense, it ranks 32nd by compiling 33 points per game.
• Louisville ranks 47th in the FBS with 255.1 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 56th with 217.9 passing yards allowed per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
• Louisville’s run defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 12th-best in the FBS with 96.8 rushing yards allowed per game. In terms of offense, it is posting 184.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 32nd.
• Louisville’s defense has been dominant on third down, giving up a 29.5% third-down conversion percentage (ninth-best). On offense, it ranks 68th in the FBS with a 39% third-down rate.
• With 19 forced turnovers (35th in the FBS) and 16 turnovers committed (56th in the FBS) this season, Louisville ranks 40th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +3.

Louisville’s Best Players

• Jack Plummer leads Louisville with 2,952 yards on 221-of-334 passing with 21 touchdowns compared to 11 interceptions this season.
• Jawhar Jordan has carried the ball 167 times for 1,076 yards, with 13 touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 18 catches for 225 yards and one touchdown.
• Isaac Guerendo has totaled 639 yards on 105 carries with eight touchdowns, while also catching 17 passes for 192 yards.
• Jamari Thrash leads his team with 801 receiving yards on 56 catches with six touchdowns.
• Chris Bell has caught 25 passes and compiled 381 receiving yards (31.8 per game) with two touchdowns.
• Kevin Coleman Jr. has racked up 321 reciving yards (26.8 ypg) and two touchdowns this season.
• Ashton Gillotte has racked up 10 sacks to pace the team, while also recording nine TFL and 32 tackles.
• TJ Quinn is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s picked up 61 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception.
• Devin Neal leads the team with four interceptions, while also putting up 45 tackles and four passes defended.