Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals Picks & Preview | NCAAFB ACC Championship

The No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (12-0) meet the No. 15 Louisville Cardinals (10-2) in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday, December 2, 2023.

The Cardinals are underdogs, but by less than a field goal (+2.5), against the Seminoles (with an over/under of 48.5 points).

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Game Info for Florida State vs. Louisville

• Game Day: Saturday, December 2, 2023
• Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ABC
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Stadium: Bank of America Stadium

Florida State Pick Insights

• Florida State has gone 7-4-0 ATS this season.
• Florida State has a 5-4 record against the spread in games it was favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
• Florida State games with a set total have hit the over six times this season (54.5%).

Florida State Stats & Insights

• On defense, Florida State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 20th-best by surrendering only 315.6 yards per game. The offense ranks 32nd (431.8 yards per game).
• Florida State has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (10th-best with 38.8 points per game) and scoring defense (11th-best with 16.8 points allowed per game) this year.
• Florida State has the 27th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (275.6 passing yards per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking 10th-best with only 175.4 passing yards allowed per game.
• Offensively, Florida State ranks 67th in the FBS with 156.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 47th in rushing yards allowed per contest (140.2).
• Florida State has the 60th-ranked offense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (40.4% percentage), and has been more effective defensively, ranking fifth-best with a 28.3% third-down conversion rate allowed.
• Florida State has forced 16 total turnovers (67th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over five times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +11, the fifth-best in college football.

Florida State’s Best Players

• Jordan Travis has thrown for 2,745 yards (228.8 ypg) to lead Florida State, completing 64.2% of his passes and collecting 20 touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 176 rushing yards on 73 carries with seven rushing touchdowns.
• Trey Benson has 868 rushing yards on 140 carries with 14 touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 18 catches for 212 yards (17.7 per game) and one touchdown via the passing game.
• Lawrance Toafili has piled up 345 yards on 59 carries, scoring three times.
• Keon Coleman’s team-high 639 yards as a receiver have come on 46 receptions (out of 81 targets) with 11 touchdowns.
• Johnny Wilson has put up a 596-yard season so far with two touchdowns, reeling in 39 passes on 66 targets.
• Jaheim Bell has been the target of 54 passes and hauled in 39 grabs for 503 yards, an average of 41.9 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
• Kalen DeLoach paces the team with eight sacks. He’s also the team’s tackle leader, and has racked up nine TFL, 60 tackles, and one interception.
• Jarrian Jones leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 17 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.

Louisville Betting Insights

• Louisville is 6-5-1 against the spread this season.
• Louisville is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• Six of Louisville’s 12 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).

Louisville Pick Insights

• Louisville has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, allowing only 314.7 total yards per game (19th-best). On offense, it ranks 26th by posting 439.8 total yards per game.
• Louisville has been dominant on defense, giving up only 20 points per game (25th-best). Offensively, it ranks 32nd by piling up 33 points per game.
• Louisville ranks 47th in the FBS with 255.1 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 56th with 217.9 passing yards allowed per contest on defense.
• Louisville’s run defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 12th-best in the FBS with 96.8 rushing yards allowed per game. In terms of offense, it is putting up 184.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 32nd.
• Louisville ranks 68th in the FBS with a 39% third-down conversion percentage, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks ninth-best by allowing a 29.5% third-down rate.
• With 19 forced turnovers (35th in the FBS) and 16 turnovers committed (56th in the FBS) this season, Louisville ranks 40th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +3.

Louisville’s Best Players

• Jack Plummer has 2,952 passing yards, or 246 per game, so far this season. He has completed 66.2% of his passes and has thrown 21 touchdowns with 11 interceptions.
• Jawhar Jordan has rushed for 1,076 yards on 167 carries so far this year while scoring 13 times on the ground. He’s also added 18 catches, totaling 225 yards and one touchdown in the passing game.
• Isaac Guerendo has run for 639 yards across 105 carries, scoring eight touchdowns. He’s chipped in with 17 catches for 192 yards.
• Jamari Thrash has totaled 56 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 801 (66.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 86 times and has six touchdowns.
• Chris Bell has put up a 381-yard season so far with two touchdowns. He’s caught 25 passes on 36 targets.
• Kevin Coleman Jr.’s 31 targets have resulted in 22 receptions for 321 yards and two touchdowns.
• Ashton Gillotte has 10 sacks to lead the team, and also has nine TFL and 32 tackles.
• Louisville’s tackle leader, TJ Quinn, has 61 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
• Devin Neal has a team-leading four interceptions to go along with 45 tackles and four passes defended.