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Star player Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (5-5) face the SMU Mustangs (9-2) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +19.5) versus the Mustangs (with an over/under of 46 points).
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Game Info for SMU vs. Navy
- Game Day: Saturday, November 25, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Location: University Park, Texas
- Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | -19.5 | -111 | -111 | 46 | -110 | -110 | -1249 | +742 |
SMU Pick Insights
- SMU has gone 5-5-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season as favorites of at least 19.5 points, SMU has a 4-1 record against the spread.
- SMU games with a set total have hit the over four times this season (40%).
SMU Stats & Insights
- SMU has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (10th-best with 471.3 yards per game) and total defense (14th-best with 306.5 yards allowed per game) this year.
- SMU has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking sixth-best in scoring offense (40.3 points per game) and 15th-best in scoring defense (18 points allowed per game).
- SMU has been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the passing game, with a top-25 ranking in both passing offense (20th-best with 285.5 passing yards per game) and passing defense (25th-best with 194.5 passing yards allowed per game) this season.
- SMU ranks 29th in rushing yards this year (185.7 rushing yards per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 112 rushing yards allowed per game.
- Defensively, SMU has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 11th-best by allowing a 29.6% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 35th (43% third-down conversion rate).
- With 13 forced turnovers (92nd in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (10th in the FBS), SMU’s +4+4 turnover margin ranks 30th in college football.
SMU’s Best Players
- Preston Stone has 2,882 pass yards for SMU, completing 59.1% of his passes and recording 25 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 207 rushing yards (18.8 ypg) on 60 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
- Jaylan Knighton has carried the ball 113 times for a team-high 645 yards on the ground and has found the end zone six times.
- LJ Johnson Jr. has carried the ball 99 times for 542 yards (49.3 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Jake Bailey’s 438 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 44 times and has totaled 33 catches.
- RJ Maryland has grabbed 26 passes while averaging 36.2 yards per game and scoring seven touchdowns.
- Romello Brinson’s 24 grabs have yielded 376 yards and two touchdowns.
- Elijah Roberts has racked up 7.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording seven TFL and 24 tackles.
- SMU’s top-tackler, Kobe Wilson, has 51 tackles, two TFL, and one interception this year.
- Isaiah Nwokobia leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 46 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
Navy Betting Insights
- Navy is 4-4-1 ATS this season.
- Navy is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 19.5 points or greater this year.
- Navy has hit the over in three of their nine games with a set total (33.3%).
Navy Pick Insights
- Navy ranks 10th-worst in total yards per game (304.1), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 43rd in the FBS with 349.8 total yards surrendered per contest.
- Navy ranks 13th-worst in points per game on offense (18.7), but at least it has been dominating on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in points allowed per contest (19.3).
- Navy’s passing offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating 101.8 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 71st with 227.5 passing yards ceded per contest.
- Navy’s run offense has been dominant, compiling 202.3 rushing yards per contest (14th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 34th by allowing 122.3 rushing yards per game.
- Offensively, Navy is bottom-25 on third down, posting a 30.6% third-down conversion percentage (eighth-worst). On the bright side, it is excelling on defense, allowing a 31.5% third-down rate (20th-best).
- Navy has generated 23 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over nine times, resulting in a +14 turnover margin, which ranks second-best in the FBS.
Navy’s Best Players
- Tai Lavatai leads Navy with 522 yards on 40-of-75 passing with four touchdowns compared to two interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 171 rushing yards (17.1 ypg) on 56 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
- Tecza is his team’s leading rusher with 115 carries for 723 yards, or 72.3 per game. He’s found paydirt five times on the ground, as well.
- Xavier Arline has piled up 68 carries and totaled 264 yards with two touchdowns.
- Eli Heidenreich leads his squad with 320 receiving yards on 14 receptions with four touchdowns.
- Brandon Chatman has totaled 211 receiving yards (21.1 yards per game) on 13 receptions.
- Nathan Kent has racked up 77 reciving yards (7.7 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Justin Reed leads the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 38 tackles.
- Colin Ramos, Navy’s tackle leader, has 86 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Rayuan Lane leads the team with four interceptions, while also putting up 52 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and six passes defended.
