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The Buffalo Bills (5-5) play a familiar opponent when they host the New York Jets (4-5) on Sunday, November 19, 2023 at Highmark Stadium in an AFC East battle.
The Bills have the eighth-ranked offense this year (26.2 points per game), and they’ve been better defensively, ranking fifth-best with just 18.4 points allowed per game. The Jets have been sputtering offensively, ranking fourth-worst with 283.1 total yards per game. They have been more productive on defense, giving up 307.8 total yards per contest (sixth-ranked).
Bills vs. Jets Picks
A majority of Splash Inc. users think the Jets will earn an upset victory against the Bills on Sunday, with 9.6% of users picking them to emerge with a victory. Against the spread, 58.6% of users project the Bills to cover the 7-point line.
Game Info: Bills vs. Jets
- Game Day: Sunday, November 19, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Here’s a look at some betting trends and insights for Buffalo (-7) versus New York on Sunday. The over/under is set at 40 points for this game.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have gone 3-7-0 ATS this season.
- When they have played as at least 7-point favorites this season, the Bills are 1-4 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in three of the Bills’ 10 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills are putting up 370.1 yards per game on offense this season (seventh in NFL), and they are giving up 330.6 yards per game (17th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best by surrendering just 18.4 points per game. They rank eighth on offense (26.2 points per game).
- The Bills are totaling 253.6 passing yards per game on offense this season (seventh in NFL), and they are allowing 215.4 passing yards per game (12th) on defense.
- The Bills are putting up 116.5 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 13th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 19th, giving up 115.2 rushing yards per game.
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the NFL by putting up a 49.2% third-down conversion rate. They rank 23rd on defense (41.8% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Bills rank 24th in yards per play allowed this season (5.7), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking third-best in the NFL with 6.1 yards per play.
- The Bills have forced 15 total turnovers (ninth in NFL) this season and have turned it over 18 times (29th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -3, 19th-ranked in the league.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 2,600 PASS YDS / 260 YPG / 70.3% / 19 TD / 11 INT / 48 CAR / 246 RUSH YDS / 7 TD
- James Cook: 120 CAR / 615 YDS / 61.5 YPG / 1 TD / 24 REC / 222 YDS / 22.2 YPG / 1 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 73 REC / 868 YDS / 86.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 33 REC / 490 YDS / 49 YPG / 5 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 45 REC / 390 YDS / 43.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 93 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK / 2 INT / 4 PD
Game Trends for Jets
- The Jets’ ATS record is 4-4-1 this year.
- In games they have played as at least 7-point underdogs this year, the Jets are 1-1 against the spread.
- In the Jets’ nine games with a set total, three have hit the over (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Jets
- The Jets rank fourth-worst in total yards per game (283.1), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking sixth in the NFL with 307.8 total yards surrendered per contest.
- The Jets have been struggling on offense, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 16 points per game. They have been more effective on defense, allowing 19.1 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
- The Jets rank third-worst in passing yards per game on offense (179.2), but at least they’ve been dominating on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in passing yards allowed per game (169.3).
- The Jets rank 18th in rushing yards per game (103.9), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 138.4 rushing yards conceded per contest.
- The Jets’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking worst in the NFL with a 25% third-down conversion percentage. They have been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering a 39.7% third-down rate (18th-ranked).
- In terms of yards per play, the Jets’ defense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 4.9 yards ceded per play. In terms of offense, they are posting 5.2 yards per play, which ranks 22nd.
- The Jets own a +1 turnover margin this season, which ranks 11th in the NFL.
Best Players for Jets
- Zach Wilson: 1,863 PASS YDS / 207 YPG / 59.8% / 5 TD / 6 INT / 29 CAR / 184 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Breece Hall: 107 CAR / 521 YDS / 57.9 YPG / 2 TD / 26 REC / 246 YDS / 27.3 YPG / 1 TD
- Garrett Wilson: 55 REC / 642 YDS / 71.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Tyler Conklin: 33 REC / 363 YDS / 40.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Allen Lazard: 20 REC / 290 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 1 TD
- C.J. Mosley: 96 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT / 5 PD