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At Autzen Stadium on Saturday, Bo Nix and the Oregon Ducks (8-1) play Caleb Williams and the USC Trojans (7-3) in a matchup between a pair of star quarterbacks, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
The Trojans are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +16) versus the Ducks (with an over/under of 77 points).
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Game Info for Oregon vs. USC
- Game Day: Saturday, November 11, 2023
- Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Eugene, Oregon
- Stadium: Autzen Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | -16 | -111 | -109 | 77 | -110 | -110 | -791 | +536 |
Oregon Pick Insights
- Oregon’s ATS record is 6-1-1 this season.
- Oregon has a 4-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 16 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in three of Oregon’s eight games with a set total.
Oregon Stats & Insights
- Oregon has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (second-best with 539.8 yards per game) and total defense (18th-best with 301.7 yards allowed per game) this season.
- Oregon has been shining on both offense and defense, ranking best in scoring offense (47.4 points per game) and 11th-best in scoring defense (16 points allowed per game).
- Oregon ranks 36th in pass defense this year (204.6 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 332.4 passing yards per game.
- Oregon has been clicking on all fronts in the running game this year, ranking 11th-best in rushing offense (207.3 rushing yards per game) and 13th-best in rushing defense (97.1 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Oregon has been firing on all cylinders on third down this season, owning the third-best mark in third-down percentage (55.2%) and 25th-best in third-down defense (32.8% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- Oregon has forced 12 total turnovers (73rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over four times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the ninth-best in college football.
Oregon’s Best Players
- Nix has 2,723 pass yards for Oregon, completing 78.1% of his passes and throwing 25 touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He’s also contributed on the ground with 116 rushing yards (12.9 ypg) on 37 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
- Mar’Keise Irving has 821 rushing yards on 119 carries with nine touchdowns. He’s also added 35 catches for 286 yards (31.8 per game) and one touchdown via the passing game.
- Jordan James has carried the ball 70 times for 545 yards (60.6 per game) and nine touchdowns.
- Troy Franklin’s 946 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 80 times and has totaled 58 catches and 10 touchdowns.
- Tez Johnson has hauled in 46 receptions totaling 599 yards, finding the end zone six times as a receiver so far this campaign.
- Terrance Ferguson has hauled in 27 receptions for 287 yards, an average of 31.9 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
- Brandon Dorlus paces the team with four sacks, and also has four TFL and 18 tackles.
- Evan Williams, Oregon’s top tackler, has 50 tackles, three TFL, and 3.5 sacks this year.
- Tysheem Johnson has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 40 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
USC Betting Insights
- USC has covered the spread only two times in 10 opportunities this year.
- USC has hit the over in nine of their 10 games with a set total (90%).
USC Pick Insights
- USC ranks 11th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (436), but at least it has been getting things done on offense, ranking eighth-best in total yards per contest (485.5).
- While USC’s defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 10th-worst by giving up 34.5 points per game, its offense ranks second-best with 45.5 points per contest.
- USC’s pass defense ranks 108th in the FBS with 249.5 passing yards allowed per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks fifth-best by putting up 326.7 passing yards per game.
- USC ranks 71st in rushing yards per game (158.8), but it has been less productive defensively, ranking 14th-worst in the FBS with 186.5 rushing yards conceded per contest.
- With a 42.6% third-down conversion rate on offense, USC ranks 43rd in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 76th, giving up a 39.4% third-down rate.
- With 14 forced turnovers (44th in the FBS) and 12 turnovers committed (57th in the FBS) this season, USC ranks 45th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +2.
USC’s Best Players
- Caleb Williams has put up 2,958 passing yards, or 295.8 per game, so far this season. He has completed 69% of his passes and has recorded 28 touchdowns with four interceptions. He’s also helped out on the ground with 14.6 rushing yards per game while scoring as a runner 10 times.
- MarShawn Lloyd is his team’s leading rusher with 99 carries for 766 yards, or 76.6 per game. He’s found the end zone eight times on the ground, as well. Lloyd has also chipped in with 10 catches for 157 yards.
- Austin Jones has rushed for 385 yards on 61 carries with five touchdowns.
- Tahj Washington’s 833 receiving yards (83.3 yards per game) lead the team. He has 43 receptions on 56 targets with six touchdowns.
- Brenden Rice has put up a 563-yard season so far with 10 touchdowns. He’s caught 32 passes on 49 targets.
- Mario Williams has racked up 301 reciving yards (30.1 ypg) and two touchdowns this season.
- Jamil Muhammad has six sacks to lead the team, and also has seven TFL and 26 tackles.
- Mason Cobb, USC’s tackle leader, has 60 tackles and five TFL this year.
- Calen Bullock has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 48 tackles and two passes defended to his name.
