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The Baltimore Ravens (13-4) have home-field advantage in the playoffs against the Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) in the AFC Championship game on Sunday, January 28, 2024 at M&T Bank Stadium.
The Ravens rank sixth in total offense (370.4 yards per game) and sixth in total defense (301.4 yards allowed per game) this year. The Chiefs rank 15th in the NFL with 21.8 points per contest, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks second-best by allowing only 17.3 points per contest.
Ravens vs. Chiefs Picks
Game Info: Ravens vs. Chiefs
- Game Day: Sunday, January 28, 2024
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Baltimore, Maryland
- Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium
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See these betting insights and trends before you bet on Sunday’s Baltimore-Kansas City spread (Baltimore -3.5) or total (44.5 points).
Game Trends for Ravens
- The Ravens won 11 games against the spread in the regular season, failing to cover six times, and they are 1-0-0 ATS in the postseason.
- The Ravens have been favored by 3.5 points or more 11 times this season (regular season and playoffs), and covered the spread in six of those matchups.
- During the regular season, eight of the Ravens’ games hit the over, and zero of one in the playoffs.
Stats & Insights for Ravens
- Offensively, the Ravens rank sixth in the NFL with 370.4 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank sixth in total defense (301.4 yards allowed per contest).
- The Ravens have been clicking on all fronts this season, as they rank fourth-best in scoring offense (28.4 points per game) and best in scoring defense (16.5 points allowed per game).
- The Ravens are averaging 213.8 passing yards per game on offense (21st in the NFL), and they rank sixth defensively with 191.9 passing yards allowed per game.
- Offensively, the Ravens have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the NFL by averaging 156.5 per game. They rank 14th on defense (109.4 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Ravens are putting up a 42.0% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them eighth in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank seventh, allowing a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.
- The Ravens have been a difficult matchup for opposing teams in terms of yards per play, as they rank top-five in both offensive yards per play (third-best with 6.1) and yards per play allowed on defense (fourth-best at 5.0) this year.
- The Ravens have forced 31 total turnovers (first in NFL) this season and have turned it over 19 times (12th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +12, the best in the league.
Best Players for Ravens
- Lamar Jackson: 3,678 PASS YDS / 229.9 YPG / 67.2% / 24 TD / 7 INT / 148 CAR / 821 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
- Gus Edwards: 198 CAR / 810 YDS / 47.6 YPG / 13 TD / 12 REC / 180 YDS / 10.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Zay Flowers: 77 REC / 858 YDS / 53.6 YPG / 5 TD
- Odell Beckham Jr.: 35 REC / 565 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 3 TD
- Isaiah Likely: 30 REC / 411 YDS / 29.4 YPG / 5 TD
- Roquan Smith: 158 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT / 8 PD
Game Trends for Chiefs
- The Chiefs compiled a 10-7-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 2-0-0 in the playoffs.
- A total of five Chiefs games hit the over during the regular season. Meanwhile, one of two games have eclipsed the total in the postseason.
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs rank ninth in the NFL with 351.3 total yards per game, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks second-best by giving up only 289.8 total yards per contest.
- The Chiefs’ defense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 17.3 points allowed per contest. In terms of offense, they are putting up 21.8 points per game, which ranks 15th.
- The Chiefs rank sixth in the NFL with 246.4 passing yards per contest, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by giving up only 176.5 passing yards per game.
- From an offensive angle, the Chiefs are putting up 104.9 rushing yards per game (19th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL on defense (113.2 rushing yards surrendered per game).
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Chiefs rank sixth in the NFL (43.6% third-down conversion rate) and 10th on the other side of the ball (37.1% third-down rate allowed).
- The Chiefs have been excelling on defense in terms of yards per play, surrendering only 5.0 (fourth-best). Offensively, they rank 11th in the NFL by posting 5.7 yards per play.
- The Chiefs have a bottom-five turnover margin this season, fifth-worst at -11.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 4,183 PASS YDS / 261.4 YPG / 67.2% / 27 TD / 14 INT / 75 CAR / 389 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 205 CAR / 935 YDS / 66.8 YPG / 7 TD / 44 REC / 244 YDS / 17.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Travis Kelce: 93 REC / 984 YDS / 65.6 YPG / 5 TD
- Rashee Rice: 79 REC / 938 YDS / 58.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Justin Watson: 27 REC / 460 YDS / 30.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Justin Reid: 95 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 1 INT / 7 PD
