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The Miami Dolphins (11-5) host a streaking Buffalo Bills (10-6) team on Sunday, January 7, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Bills have won four games in a row.
The Bills sport the 10th-ranked defense this year (309.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best with 368.3 yards per game. The Dolphins’ offense has been dominant, posting 409.2 total yards per game (best) this season. On defense, they rank ninth by allowing 308.6 total yards per game.
Bills vs. Dolphins Picks
The Bills are projected by Splash Inc. users to both win straight up and cover the spread against the Dolphins on Sunday. At the moment, 57.4% of users are picking them to win and 60.3% have picked the Bills to cover the 3-point spread.
Game Info: Bills vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Before you bet on Sunday’s Buffalo-Miami spread (Buffalo -3) or total (48.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have posted a 6-10-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills have a 3-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 3 points or more.
- The Bills have hit the over in six of their 16 games with a set total (37.5%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by averaging 368.3 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (309.2 yards allowed per game).
- The Bills have been surging on both sides of the ball, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.6 points allowed per game).
- Offensively, the Bills rank 10th in the NFL with 238.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank seventh in passing yards allowed per contest (198.4).
- The Bills are putting up 130.3 rushing yards per game on offense (seventh in the NFL), and they rank 15th defensively with 110.8 rushing yards allowed per game.
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by putting up a 49% third-down percentage. They rank 18th on defense (38.5% third-down percentage allowed).
- The Bills are allowing 5.5 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL), while gaining 5.8 per play (sixth in the league) on offense this season.
- With 28 forced turnovers (second in NFL) against 25 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Bills’ +3 turnover margin ranks 11th in the league.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,947 PASS YDS / 246.7 YPG / 65.6% / 27 TD / 16 INT / 96 CAR / 457 RUSH YDS / 15 TD
- James Cook: 224 CAR / 1,086 YDS / 67.9 YPG / 2 TD / 41 REC / 429 YDS / 26.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 100 REC / 1,096 YDS / 68.5 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 45 REC / 746 YDS / 49.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 66 REC / 589 YDS / 39.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 134 TKL / 10 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- So far this season, the Dolphins have put together a 10-6-0 record against the spread.
- The Dolphins are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this year.
- Nine of the Dolphins’ 16 games with a set total have hit the over (56.2%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been excelling, posting 409.2 total yards per game (best) this season. Defensively, they rank ninth by allowing 308.6 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ defense ranks 21st in the NFL with 23.1 points allowed per game, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks best by accumulating 30.1 points per game.
- The Dolphins’ pass defense ranks 12th in the NFL with 213.5 passing yards allowed per game, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks best by generating 271.7 passing yards per contest.
- The Dolphins’ run offense has been dominant, racking up 137.5 rushing yards per contest (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank seventh by giving up 95.1 rushing yards per game.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Dolphins rank eighth in the NFL (42.2% third-down conversion rate) and 11th on defense (37.3% third-down rate allowed).
- The Dolphins’ defense ranks ninth in the NFL with 5.4 yards surrendered per play, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks second-best by compiling 6.7 yards per play.
- The Dolphins own a +1 turnover margin this season, which ranks 15th in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 4,451 PASS YDS / 278.2 YPG / 69.6% / 28 TD / 12 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 209 CAR / 1,012 YDS / 67.5 YPG / 18 TD / 25 REC / 175 YDS / 11.7 YPG / 3 TD
- Devon Achane: 93 CAR / 744 YDS / 74.4 YPG / 7 TD / 26 REC / 192 YDS / 19.2 YPG / 3 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 112 REC / 1,717 YDS / 114.5 YPG / 12 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 72 REC / 1,014 YDS / 72.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Durham Smythe: 32 REC / 336 YDS / 28 YPG / 0 TD
- David Long: 100 TKL / 9 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 PD
