Table of Contents
The Washington Commanders (4-11) head into a matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (11-4) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at FedExField on a six-game losing streak.
The 49ers have been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (second-best with 29.6 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 17.8 points allowed per game) this season. The Commanders have not been getting things done on defense, ranking worst with 384.3 total yards allowed per game. They have been better offensively, generating 327.5 total yards per contest (19th-ranked).
49ers vs. Commanders Picks
A majority of Splash Inc. users have picked the Commanders to win as underdogs against the 49ers on Sunday (3.1% of users), while 68.3% think the 49ers will cover as 14-point favorites.
Game Info: 49ers vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
Get your NFL contest started with Splash Sports, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.
Start here >
If you plan to place a wager on San Francisco-Washington contest (in which San Francisco is a 14-point favorite and the total has been set at 49.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Sunday’s game.
Game Trends for 49ers
- The 49ers have gone 8-7-0 ATS this season.
- The 49ers are 1-1 against the spread when favored by 14 points or more this season.
- Eight of the 49ers’ 15 games with a set total have hit the over (53.3%).
Stats & Insights for 49ers
- The 49ers own the 11th-ranked defense this season (312.3 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking second-best with 404.3 yards per game.
- The 49ers have been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (second-best with 29.6 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 17.8 points allowed per game) this year.
- The 49ers rank 16th in pass defense this season (222 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 265.7 passing yards per game.
- The 49ers have been making things happen on both sides of the ball in the running game this season, as they rank fourth-best in rushing offense (138.7 rushing yards per game) and fourth-best in rushing defense (90.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The 49ers rank 21st in third-down defense this year (39.8% third-down conversion rate allowed), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with a 47.5% third-down percentage.
- The 49ers rank ninth in yards per play allowed this year (5.3), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 6.9 yards per play.
- With 25 forced turnovers (third in NFL) against 17 turnovers committed (10th in NFL), the 49ers’ +8 turnover margin is the fourth-best in the league.
Best Players for 49ers
- Brock Purdy: 4,050 PASS YDS / 270 YPG / 68.8% / 29 TD / 11 INT
- Christian McCaffrey: 258 CAR / 1,395 YDS / 93 YPG / 14 TD / 63 REC / 537 YDS / 35.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Deebo Samuel: 33 CAR / 179 YDS / 13.8 YPG / 5 TD / 53 REC / 834 YDS / 64.2 YPG / 6 TD
- Brandon Aiyuk: 65 REC / 1,203 YDS / 85.9 YPG / 6 TD
- George Kittle: 62 REC / 991 YDS / 66.1 YPG / 6 TD
- Fred Warner: 126 TKL / 6 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 4 INT / 11 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- So far this year, the Commanders have compiled a 6-8-1 record against the spread.
- Commanders games have hit the over in nine out of 15 opportunities (60%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, surrendering 384.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst. Offensively, they rank 19th with 327.5 total yards per contest.
- The Commanders rank 23rd in points per game (20.6), but they’ve been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 30.2 points surrendered per contest.
- The Commanders rank 16th in passing yards per game (228.8), but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 261.6 passing yards allowed per contest.
- The Commanders are posting 98.7 rushing yards per game on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 122.7 rushing yards per game (23rd-ranked) on defense.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Commanders rank 22nd in the NFL (36.5% third-down conversion rate) and 23rd on defense (40.6% third-down rate allowed).
- The Commanders’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking fourth-worst at 6. They have been better on the other side of the ball, putting up 5.5 yards per play (15th-ranked).
- The Commanders have fared poorly in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of -10 is second-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Commanders
- Jacoby Brissett: 224 PASS YDS / 112 YPG / 78.3% / 3 TD / 0 INT
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 160 CAR / 664 YDS / 51.1 YPG / 5 TD / 29 REC / 326 YDS / 25.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Sam Howell: 43 CAR / 265 YDS / 17.7 YPG / 5 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 69 REC / 885 YDS / 59 YPG / 3 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 57 REC / 565 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 47 REC / 501 YDS / 33.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Kamren Curl: 106 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 PD
