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The Buffalo Bills (9-6) bring a three-game winning streak into a matchup against the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.
The Bills rank 10th in total defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.1 total yards per game. The Patriots’ offense has been bottom-five in total offense this season, posting 285.5 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank eighth with 306.1 total yards allowed per contest.
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users are divided on the Sunday NFL matchup between the Bills and the Patriots. Currently, 2.0% of users think the Patriots will win straight up as underdogs, while 51.3% of users think the Bills will cover as 12-point favorites.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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If you are planning on making a wager on Buffalo-New England outing (in which Buffalo is a 12-point favorite and the total is set at 41 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Sunday’s game.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills’ ATS record is 6-9-0 this season.
- The Bills have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 12 points or more this season (0-2).
- Bills games with a set total have hit the over five times this season (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills rank 10th in total defense this season (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.1 total yards per game.
- The Bills rank sixth in points scored this season (26.9 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 18.4 points allowed per game.
- The Bills rank ninth in pass offense (243.7 passing yards per game) and ninth in pass defense (198.9 passing yards allowed per game) this season.
- The Bills are averaging 130.5 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 111.3 rushing yards per contest.
- The Bills rank 16th in third-down defense this year (38.5% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 49.2% third-down percentage.
- The Bills rank 13th in yards per play allowed this year (5.4), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 5.9 yards per play.
- The Bills rank 15th in the NFL with an even turnover margin after forcing 24 turnovers (sixth in the NFL) and committing 24 (24th in the NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,778 PASS YDS / 251.9 YPG / 66.5% / 27 TD / 15 INT / 85 CAR / 413 RUSH YDS / 13 TD
- James Cook: 208 CAR / 1,038 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 2 TD / 40 REC / 433 YDS / 28.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 96 REC / 1,070 YDS / 71.3 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 43 REC / 725 YDS / 51.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 62 REC / 502 YDS / 35.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 124 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 4-11-0 against the spread this year.
- Six of the Patriots’ 15 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots have been struggling on offense, ranking fifth-worst with 285.5 total yards per game. They have been more productive on defense, allowing 306.1 total yards per contest (eighth-ranked).
- The Patriots have been struggling offensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 14.1 points per game. They have been more productive defensively, giving up 21.5 points per contest (16th-ranked).
- The Patriots are putting up 189.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 221.3 passing yards per contest (15th-ranked) on defense.
- The Patriots have been thriving on run defense, surrendering only 84.8 rushing yards per game (second-best). Offensively, they rank 25th in the NFL by accumulating 95.7 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots rank third-worst in third-down conversion rate (31.3%), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking eighth in the NFL with a 36.7% third-down rate allowed.
- While the Patriots’ offense has been stuck in neutral in terms of yards per play, ranking fifth-worst at 5.0, their defense is third-best with just 5.0 yards surrendered per play.
- After forcing 16 turnovers (24th in NFL) and turning the ball over 23 times (22nd in NFL) this season, the Patriots sport the 26th-ranked turnover margin of -7.
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 975 PASS YDS / 121.9 YPG / 63.5% / 6 TD / 4 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 156 CAR / 619 YDS / 51.6 YPG / 4 TD / 38 REC / 238 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 157 CAR / 549 YDS / 36.6 YPG / 2 TD / 45 REC / 280 YDS / 18.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 44 REC / 517 YDS / 43.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 42 REC / 419 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 6 TD
- DeVante Parker: 31 REC / 373 YDS / 33.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 97 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 3 PD
