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The Buffalo Bills (9-6) enter a matchup against the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium on a three-game winning streak.
The Bills rank 11th in total defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.1 total yards per game. The Patriots rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (285.5), but they’ve been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking eighth in the NFL with 306.1 total yards allowed per contest.
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users project the Bills will win straight up against the Patriots on Sunday, with 96.9% of users picking them to come out on top. On the other Hand, users are split 50-50 on who will cover the 12-point spread.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Buffalo is a 12-point favorite over New England on Sunday and the over/under has been set at 41 points. Below are a few betting insights and trends if you plan to place a wager on the game.
Game Trends for Bills
- So far this season, the Bills have compiled a 6-9-0 record against the spread.
- The Bills are winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 12-point favorites.
- Five of the Bills’ 15 games with a set total have hit the over (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills have the 11th-ranked defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fourth-best with 374.1 yards per game.
- On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by giving up only 18.4 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.9 points per game).
- The Bills rank ninth in pass offense (243.7 passing yards per game) and ninth in pass defense (198.9 passing yards allowed per game) this season.
- Offensively, the Bills rank seventh in the NFL with 130.5 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 16th in rushing yards allowed per contest (111.3).
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by averaging a 49.2% third-down percentage. They rank 16th on defense (38.5% third-down percentage allowed).
- The Bills sport the 13th-ranked defense this season in terms of yards per play (5.4 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fifth-best with 5.9 yards per play.
- The Bills have the 15th-ranked turnover margin in the league at even, forcing 24 turnovers (fifth in NFL) while turning it over 24 times (24th in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,778 PASS YDS / 251.9 YPG / 66.5% / 27 TD / 15 INT / 85 CAR / 413 RUSH YDS / 13 TD
- James Cook: 208 CAR / 1,038 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 2 TD / 40 REC / 433 YDS / 28.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 96 REC / 1,070 YDS / 71.3 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 43 REC / 725 YDS / 51.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 62 REC / 502 YDS / 35.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 124 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots have a 4-11-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Patriots have gone over in six of their 15 games with a set total (40%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots have not been getting things done offensively, ranking fifth-worst with 285.5 total yards per game. They have been more productive on defense, surrendering 306.1 total yards per contest (eighth-ranked).
- The Patriots have been struggling on offense, ranking worst in the NFL with 14.1 points per game. They have been more effective defensively, giving up 21.5 points per contest (16th-ranked).
- The Patriots rank 24th in the NFL with 189.8 passing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 16th with 221.3 passing yards allowed per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Patriots have been thriving on run defense, allowing only 84.8 rushing yards per game (second-best). On offense, they rank 25th in the NFL by piling up 95.7 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 31.3% third-down conversion rate. They have been more effective on defense, allowing a 36.7% third-down rate (eighth-ranked).
- Offensively, the Patriots are a bottom-five unit in terms of yards per play, accumulating only 5.0 (fifth-worst). On the bright side, they are excelling on the defensive side of the ball, ceding just 5.0 yards per play (fourth-best).
- After forcing 16 turnovers (24th in NFL) and turning the ball over 23 times (22nd in NFL) this season, the Patriots have the 26th-ranked turnover margin of -7.
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 975 PASS YDS / 121.9 YPG / 63.5% / 6 TD / 4 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 156 CAR / 619 YDS / 51.6 YPG / 4 TD / 38 REC / 238 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 157 CAR / 549 YDS / 36.6 YPG / 2 TD / 45 REC / 280 YDS / 18.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 44 REC / 517 YDS / 43.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 42 REC / 419 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 6 TD
- DeVante Parker: 31 REC / 373 YDS / 33.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 97 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 3 PD
