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The New England Patriots (3-11) visit the Denver Broncos (7-7) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, December 24, 2023.
With 382.4 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks third-worst in the NFL, the Broncos have had to lean on their 25th-ranked offense (299.8 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. The Patriots rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (285.3), but they’ve been better defensively, ranking eighth in the NFL with 308.3 total yards surrendered per contest.
Broncos vs. Patriots Picks
Right now, 3.8% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Patriots to upset the Broncos, with 26.4% picking the Patriots to cover the 7-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Broncos vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 24, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: NFL Network
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
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Check out these betting insights and trends before you bet on Sunday’s Denver-New England spread (Denver -7) or over/under (35 points).
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos are 5-8-1 ATS this season.
- Broncos games have hit the over on six of 14 occasions (42.9%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos have the 25th-ranked offense this season (299.8 yards per game), and they’ve been worse defensively, ranking third-worst with 382.4 yards allowed per game.
- The Broncos own the 15th-ranked scoring offense this year (21.7 points per game), and they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking third-worst with 25.1 points allowed per game.
- On offense, the Broncos rank 25th in the NFL with 187.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 23rd in passing yards allowed per contest (235.5).
- The Broncos have the 14th-ranked rushing offense this year (112.7 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking worst with 146.9 rushing yards allowed per game.
- On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best by giving up a 33.3% third-down percentage. They rank 21st on offense (37.1% third-down percentage).
- The Broncos have the 20th-ranked offense in terms of yards per play this year (5.3), and they’ve been worse on defense, ranking second-worst with 6.3 yards per play allowed.
- The Broncos rank eighth in the league with a +5 turnover margin after forcing 24 turnovers (third in the NFL) and committing 19 (16th in the NFL).
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 2,832 PASS YDS / 202.3 YPG / 66.3% / 24 TD / 8 INT / 76 CAR / 321 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- Javonte Williams: 182 CAR / 677 YDS / 52.1 YPG / 1 TD / 34 REC / 173 YDS / 13.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 58 CAR / 323 YDS / 23.1 YPG / 1 TD / 24 REC / 112 YDS / 8 YPG / 2 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 58 REC / 770 YDS / 55 YPG / 10 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 45 REC / 581 YDS / 44.7 YPG / 1 TD
- Samaje Perine: 41 REC / 389 YDS / 27.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Alex Singleton: 139 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 3 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots’ ATS record is 3-11-0 this year.
- The Patriots are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this season.
- Five of the Patriots’ 14 games with a set total have hit the over (35.7%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (285.3), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking eighth in the NFL with 308.3 total yards allowed per contest.
- The Patriots rank worst in points per game (13.3), but they’ve been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 16th in the NFL with 21.4 points surrendered per contest.
- From an offensive perspective, the Patriots are generating 186.9 passing yards per contest (26th-ranked). They rank 16th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (223.4 passing yards given up per game).
- The Patriots have been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, giving up only 84.9 rushing yards per contest (second-best). Offensively, they rank 24th in the NFL by compiling 98.4 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots rank fourth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (31.9%), but they’ve been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th in the NFL with a 37.1% third-down rate allowed.
- While the Patriots’ offense has been stuck in neutral in terms of yards per play, ranking fifth-worst at 4.9, their defense is fourth-best with just 5 yards conceded per play.
- The Patriots have forced 14 turnovers this season and have turned it over 22 times, resulting in a -8 turnover margin that is fourth-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 719 PASS YDS / 102.7 YPG / 60.2% / 4 TD / 4 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 156 CAR / 619 YDS / 51.6 YPG / 4 TD / 38 REC / 238 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 145 CAR / 522 YDS / 37.3 YPG / 2 TD / 36 REC / 247 YDS / 17.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Demario Douglas: 39 REC / 443 YDS / 40.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 42 REC / 419 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 6 TD
- DeVante Parker: 27 REC / 308 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 89 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
