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The New England Patriots (3-10) host the Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, December 17, 2023.
On defense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best by allowing just 17.5 points per game. They rank 11th on offense (22.5 points per game). The Patriots’ offense has been bottom-five in total offense this season, posting 291.4 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank eighth with 306.9 total yards allowed per contest.
Chiefs vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users project the Chiefs will win straight up and also cover against the Patriots, with 97.0% of users picking them to win and 66.4% picking them to cover the 8.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 17, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
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Before you bet on Sunday’s Kansas City-New England spread (Kansas City -8.5) or over/under (37 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Chiefs
- So far this season, the Chiefs have put together a 7-6-0 record against the spread.
- In games this season they were favored by 8.5 points or more, the Chiefs have a 3-0 record against the spread.
- The Chiefs have hit the over in four of their 13 games with a set total (30.8%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- On offense, the Chiefs rank seventh in the NFL with 361.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank sixth in total defense (299.9 yards allowed per contest).
- The Chiefs sport the 11th-ranked offense this year (22.5 points per game), and they’ve been better defensively, ranking third-best with only 17.5 points allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are averaging 253.5 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them sixth in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank sixth, surrendering 185 passing yards per game.
- From an offensive standpoint, the Chiefs rank 17th in the NFL with 107.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in rushing yards allowed per contest (114.9).
- Offensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by putting up a 47.2% third-down conversion rate. They rank 16th on defense (38.2% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Chiefs are gaining 5.8 yards per play on offense (eighth in the league), while sporting the fifth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5.2) this season.
- With 15 forced turnovers (21st in NFL) against 22 turnovers committed (26th in NFL), the Chiefs (-7) own the 27th-ranked turnover margin in the league.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 3,398 PASS YDS / 261.4 YPG / 66.9% / 23 TD / 11 INT / 58 CAR / 339 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 176 CAR / 779 YDS / 64.9 YPG / 6 TD / 33 REC / 209 YDS / 17.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Travis Kelce: 80 REC / 896 YDS / 74.7 YPG / 5 TD
- Rashee Rice: 59 REC / 663 YDS / 51 YPG / 6 TD
- Justin Watson: 21 REC / 350 YDS / 31.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Justin Reid: 74 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 7 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots have gone 3-10-0 ATS this year.
- Four of the Patriots’ 13 games with a set total have hit the over (30.8%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (291.4), but they’ve been better defensively, ranking eighth in the NFL with 306.9 total yards allowed per contest.
- The Patriots rank worst in points per game (13), but they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th in the NFL with 20.9 points allowed per contest.
- With 189.5 passing yards per game on offense, the Patriots rank 25th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 15th, surrendering 218.8 passing yards per game.
- The Patriots have been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, allowing just 88.2 rushing yards per contest (third-best). On offense, they rank 22nd in the NFL by racking up 101.9 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (32.9%), but they’ve been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 11th in the NFL with a 37% third-down rate allowed.
- On offense, the Patriots are bottom-five in terms of yards per play, putting up only 5 (fifth-worst). Fortunately, they are dominating on defense, surrendering just 5 yards per play (third-best).
- The Patriots have struggled in terms of turnovers, as their turnover margin of -9 is third-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 539 PASS YDS / 89.8 YPG / 55.4% / 3 TD / 3 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 156 CAR / 619 YDS / 51.6 YPG / 4 TD / 38 REC / 238 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 134 CAR / 497 YDS / 38.2 YPG / 2 TD / 31 REC / 226 YDS / 17.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Demario Douglas: 36 REC / 410 YDS / 41 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 35 REC / 353 YDS / 29.4 YPG / 5 TD
- DeVante Parker: 22 REC / 264 YDS / 29.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 86 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
