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The New Mexico Bowl will see the New Mexico State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs square off on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The matchup kicks off at 5:45 PM ET and airs on ESPN.
The Bulldogs are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+3.5), versus the Aggies (with an over/under of 51 points).
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Game Info for New Mexico State vs. Fresno State
- Game Day: Saturday, December 16, 2023
- Game Time: 5:45 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Albuquerque, New Mexico
- Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | -3.5 | -110 | -110 | 51 | -110 | -110 | -168 | +141 |
New Mexico State Pick Insights
- So far this season, New Mexico State has compiled an 8-3-1 record against the spread.
- New Mexico State has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in four of New Mexico State’s 12 games with a set total.
New Mexico State Stats & Insights
- New Mexico State is averaging 426.5 yards per game on offense this year (33rd in the FBS), and are allowing 385.6 yards per game (75th) on the other side of the ball.
- On offense, New Mexico State ranks 57th in the FBS with 28.7 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 36th in points allowed (385.6 points allowed per contest).
- New Mexico State is totaling 224.9 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 64th in the FBS. The defense ranks 94th, giving up 239.9 passing yards per contest.
- New Mexico State owns the 52nd-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (145.7 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 13th-best with 201.6 rushing yards per game.
- New Mexico State is averaging a 43.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 33rd in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 35th, allowing a 35.2% third-down percentage.
- With 11 forced turnovers (121st in the FBS) against 14 turnovers committed (35th in the FBS), New Mexico State’s -3-3 turnover margin ranks 90th in college football.
New Mexico State’s Best Players
- Diego Pavia has been a dual threat for New Mexico State so far this season. He has 2,915 passing yards, completing 61.6% of his passes and throwing 26 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 862 yards (61.6 ypg) on 158 carries with six rushing touchdowns.
- Star Thomas has been handed the ball 111 times this year and racked up 643 yards (45.9 per game) with four touchdowns.
- Jonathan Brady’s leads his squad with 613 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 37 catches (out of 57 targets) and scored four touchdowns.
- Trent Hudson has hauled in 34 receptions totaling 545 yards, finding the end zone 10 times as a receiver so far this campaign.
- Eli Stowers has been the target of 45 passes and racked up 32 grabs for 346 yards, an average of 24.7 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
- Sterling Webb leads the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has three TFL and 27 tackles.
- Keyshaun Elliott, New Mexico State’s leading tackler, has 91 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
- Dylan Early has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 32 tackles and three passes defended to his name.
Fresno State Betting Insights
- Fresno State has a 4-7-0 record against the spread this year.
- In games it has played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season, Fresno State is 1-0 against the spread.
- Fresno State games have gone over the point total in six out of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
Fresno State Pick Insights
- Fresno State is posting 378.4 total yards per game on offense this season (71st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 385.1 total yards per contest (73rd-ranked).
- Fresno State is accumulating 29.9 points per contest on offense this season (50th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 24.6 points per game (56th-ranked) on defense.
- In terms of passing, Fresno State ranks 29th in the FBS (272.3 passing yards per game) and 53rd on the other side of the ball (216.9 passing yards allowed per contest).
- Fresno State’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 106.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 98th with 168.2 rushing yards conceded per contest.
- Fresno State’s third-down offense has been dominant, posting a 46.6% third-down conversion percentage (16th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 77th by surrendering a 39.9% third-down rate.
- Fresno State has accumulated 22 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over 12 times, leading to a +10 turnover margin, which ranks eighth-best in the FBS.
Fresno State’s Best Players
- Mikey Keene has racked up 2,586 yards (215.5 ypg) while completing 66.1% of his passes and recording 21 touchdown passes with nine interceptions this season.
- Malik Sherrod is his team’s leading rusher with 152 carries for 877 yards, or 73.1 per game. He’s found paydirt nine times on the ground, as well. Sherrod has also chipped in with 35 catches for 181 yards and one receiving touchdown.
- Elijah Gilliam has run for 375 yards across 93 carries, scoring five touchdowns.
- Erik Brooks has registered 54 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 694 (57.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 86 times and has five touchdowns.
- Jalen Moss has 51 receptions (on 82 targets) for a total of 630 yards (52.5 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.
- Mac Dalena has racked up 497 reciving yards (41.4 ypg) and three touchdowns this season.
- Jacob Holmes leads the team with four sacks, and also has five TFL and 13 tackles.
- Fresno State’s tackle leader, Dean Clark, has 67 tackles, two TFL, and two interceptions this year.
- Carlton Johnson leads the team with four interceptions, while also recording 42 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended.
