Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ole Miss Rebels Picks & Preview | NCAAFB Peach Bowl

The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Ole Miss Rebels meet for the Peach Bowl. The matchup is at 12:00 PM ET on December 30, 2023, and airs on ESPN.

The Nittany Lions are the favorites (-3.5) in their game versus the Rebels, with the over/under at 49.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Nittany Lions are -167 and the Rebels are +141.)

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Game Info for Penn State vs. Ole Miss

• Game Day: Saturday, December 30, 2023
• Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Penn State Pick Insights

• Penn State has posted a 8-3-0 record against the spread this season.
• Penn State is 8-1 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
• Five of Penn State’s 11 games with a set total have hit the over (45.5%).

Penn State Stats & Insights

• Defensively, Penn State has been a top-25 unit, ranking best by allowing just 223.3 yards per game. The offense ranks 61st (391 yards per game).
• Penn State has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (12th-best with 37.2 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 11.4 points allowed per game) this season.
• Penn State ranks 93rd in passing yards this season (204.3 per game), but has been shining on defense, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 154.9 passing yards allowed per game.
• Penn State has been a handful for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (25th-best with 186.7 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (second-best with 68.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
• Penn State ranks 58th in third-down percentage this year (40.6%), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with a 29.6% third-down conversion rate allowed.
• Penn State owns the best turnover margin in college football at +18, forcing 24 turnovers (eighth in the FBS) while turning it over six times (second in the FBS).

Penn State’s Best Players

• Drew Allar has thrown for 2,336 yards (194.7 ypg) to lead Penn State, completing 61.3% of his passes and collecting 23 touchdown passes compared to one interception this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 170 rushing yards on 69 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Kaytron Allen, has carried the ball 162 times for 851 yards (70.9 per game), scoring six times.
• This season, Nicholas Singleton has carried the ball 163 times for 702 yards (58.5 per game) and eight touchdowns, while also racking up 222 yards through the air with one touchdown.
• KeAndre Lambert-Smith’s 673 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 85 times and has totaled 53 receptions and four touchdowns.
• Theo Johnson has caught 30 passes for 312 yards (26 yards per game) and six touchdowns this year.
• Tyler Warren has hauled in 29 grabs for 295 yards, an average of 24.6 yards per game. He’s scored seven times as a receiver this season.
• Adisa Isaac has racked up 7.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 13 TFL and 36 tackles.
• Penn State’s top-tackler, Kobe King, has 50 tackles, four TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year.
• Daequan Hardy has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 13 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.

Ole Miss Betting Insights

• Ole Miss has gone 5-4-2 ATS this season.
• Ole Miss is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or greater this year.
• Ole Miss games have gone over the point total in four out of 11 opportunities (36.4%).

Ole Miss Pick Insights

• Ole Miss’ offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 15th-best in the FBS with 455.6 total yards per game. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 371.9 total yards per game, which ranks 59th.
• Ole Miss’ offense has been thriving, posting 34.8 points per contest (20th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 41st by giving up 22.3 points per game.
• From an offensive angle, Ole Miss is putting up 276.6 passing yards per game (26th-ranked). It ranks 60th in the FBS on defense (220 passing yards given up per game).
• In terms of rushing, Ole Miss ranks 41st in the FBS on offense (179 rushing yards per game) and 68th defensively (151.9 rushing yards allowed per contest).
• Ole Miss ranks 85th in the FBS with a 36.7% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 62nd with a 38.5% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.
• Ole Miss has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +9 ranks 14th-best in the FBS, with 16 forced turnovers (69th in the nation) and seven turnovers committed (third in the nation).

Ole Miss’ Best Players

• Jaxson Dart has compiled 2,985 yards (248.8 yards per game) while completing 65.2% of his passes and collecting 20 touchdown passes with five interceptions this season. He’s also rushed for 377 yards with seven touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Quinshon Judkins, has carried the ball 237 times for 1,052 yards (87.7 per game) with 15 touchdowns.
• Ulysses Bentley IV has racked up 521 yards on 92 carries with four touchdowns.
• Tre Harris has totaled 47 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 851 (70.9 yards per game). He’s been targeted 77 times and has eight touchdowns.
• Dayton Wade has put together a 769-yard season so far with four touchdowns. He’s caught 52 passes on 76 targets.
• Jordan Watkins’ 75 targets have resulted in 53 catches for 741 yards and three touchdowns.
• Cedric Johnson has 5.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has three TFL and 27 tackles.
• Trey Washington, Ole Miss’ top tackler, has 68 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions this year.
• John Saunders Jr. has a team-leading three interceptions to go along with 50 tackles, two TFL, and three passes defended.