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The Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) host the Buffalo Bills (6-6) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 10, 2023.
Defensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best by surrendering only 17.3 points per game. They rank 11th on offense (22.9 points per game). The Bills have been top-five on both offense and defense this season, as they rank fifth-best in points per game (27.3) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (18.9).
Chiefs vs. Bills Picks
The Chiefs are expected by Splash Inc. users to both win straight up and also cover the spread against the Bills on Sunday. At the moment, 76.8% of users are picking them to win and 63.7% expect the Chiefs to cover the 1-point spread.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Bills
- Game Day: Sunday, December 10, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Kansas City is a 1-point favorite over Buffalo on Sunday and the over/under is set at 49 points. Here’s a few betting trends and insights if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.
Game Trends for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have gone 7-5-0 ATS this season.
- The Chiefs have a 7-5 record against the spread in games they were favored by 1 point or more this season.
- The Chiefs have gone over in four of their 12 games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by giving up just 297.7 yards per game. They rank eighth on offense (362.6 yards per game).
- The Chiefs rank 11th in points scored this year (22.9 points per game), but they’ve been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 17.3 points allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are totaling 252.7 passing yards per game on offense (eighth in the NFL), and they rank sixth on defense with 183 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are averaging 109.9 rushing yards per game on offense (16th in the NFL), and they rank 19th defensively with 114.7 rushing yards allowed per game.
- The Chiefs sport the 14th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (38% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking fourth-best with a 47% third-down conversion rate.
- The Chiefs are giving up 5.3 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (ninth in the NFL), while gaining 5.8 per play (eighth in the league) on offense this season.
- With 14 forced turnovers (23rd in NFL) against 20 turnovers committed (24th in NFL), the Chiefs’ -6 turnover margin ranks 26th in the league.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 3,127 PASS YDS / 260.6 YPG / 67.8% / 22 TD / 10 INT / 57 CAR / 331 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 176 CAR / 779 YDS / 64.9 YPG / 6 TD / 33 REC / 209 YDS / 17.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Travis Kelce: 74 REC / 813 YDS / 73.9 YPG / 5 TD
- Rashee Rice: 52 REC / 591 YDS / 49.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Justin Watson: 20 REC / 332 YDS / 33.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Drue Tranquill: 72 TKL / 6 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 PD
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have gone 4-8-0 ATS this season.
- The Bills are winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
- The Bills have gone over in four of their 12 games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills’ defense ranks 12th in the NFL with 319.9 total yards allowed per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fourth-best by posting 383.3 total yards per game.
- The Bills have been a top-five unit on both sides of the ball this season, as they rank fifth-best in points per game (27.3) and fifth-best in points surrendered per game (18.9).
- The Bills’ pass offense has been thriving, posting 260.9 passing yards per game (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank eighth by allowing 203.3 passing yards per game.
- The Bills are accumulating 122.3 rushing yards per game on offense this season (10th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 116.7 rushing yards per game (20th-ranked) on defense.
- The Bills’ third-down offense has been excelling, posting a 49.7% third-down conversion percentage (best) this season. On defense, they rank 17th by surrendering a 38.5% third-down rate.
- The Bills’ defense ranks 19th in the NFL with 5.6 yards surrendered per play, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by generating 6 yards per play.
- With 21 forced turnovers (second in NFL) and 20 turnovers committed (24th in NFL) this season, the Bills rank 14th in the NFL with a turnover margin of +1.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,214 PASS YDS / 267.8 YPG / 68.1% / 24 TD / 13 INT / 62 CAR / 342 RUSH YDS / 9 TD
- James Cook: 153 CAR / 731 YDS / 60.9 YPG / 1 TD / 33 REC / 308 YDS / 25.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 83 REC / 969 YDS / 80.8 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 39 REC / 595 YDS / 54.1 YPG / 6 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 56 REC / 474 YDS / 43.1 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 104 TKL / 6 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
