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AFC West foes meet when the Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) and the Denver Broncos (6-6) square off on Sunday, December 10, 2023 at SoFi Stadium.
Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranks fourth-worst in the NFL (379.5 yards allowed per game), the Chargers have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th in the NFL by putting up 338.6 yards per game. The Broncos’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, conceding 25.2 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 15th with 21.9 points per contest.
Chargers vs. Broncos Picks
The Broncos are projected by Splash Inc. users to both cover the spread and win straight up as underdogs against the Chargers on Sunday. Right now, 55.4% of users are projecting them to win the game and 60.5% have picked the Broncos to cover the 2.5-point spread.
Game Info: Chargers vs. Broncos
- Game Day: Sunday, December 10, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Inglewood, California
- Stadium: SoFi Stadium
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Here’s a look at some betting trends for Los Angeles (-2.5) versus Denver on Sunday. The over/under has been set at 44 points for this game.
Game Trends for Chargers
- The Chargers have a 5-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 2.5 points or more, the Chargers have a 4-3 record against the spread.
- The Chargers have hit the over in three of their 12 games with a set total (25%).
Stats & Insights for Chargers
- With 379.5 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chargers have been forced to rely on their 15th-ranked offense (338.6 yards per contest) to keep them in games.
- The Chargers are putting up 22.9 points per game offensively this season (11th in NFL), and they are giving up 21.5 points per game (19th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Chargers own the 11th-ranked passing offense this season (240.9 passing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst with 265.8 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Chargers are totaling 97.7 rushing yards per game offensively this season (25th in NFL), and they are giving up 113.8 rushing yards per game (17th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Chargers rank 11th in third-down percentage this season (42.6%), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with a 34.6% third-down conversion rate allowed.
- In addition to 6 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chargers have put up the 15th-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.5).
- With 16 forced turnovers (16th in NFL) against 12 turnovers committed (sixth in NFL), the Chargers (+4) own the 10th-ranked turnover margin in the league.
Best Players for Chargers
- Justin Herbert: 3,038 PASS YDS / 253.2 YPG / 65.6% / 20 TD / 6 INT / 52 CAR / 228 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- Austin Ekeler: 126 CAR / 446 YDS / 49.6 YPG / 4 TD / 31 REC / 295 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 1 TD
- Joshua Kelley: 94 CAR / 376 YDS / 31.3 YPG / 2 TD / 7 REC / 26 YDS / 2.2 YPG / 0 TD
- Keenan Allen: 102 REC / 1,175 YDS / 97.9 YPG / 7 TD
- Gerald Everett: 29 REC / 254 YDS / 25.4 YPG / 3 TD
- Kenneth Murray: 88 TKL / 7 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT / 3 PD
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos have a 4-7-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Broncos have a 2-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
- Broncos games have hit the over in five out of 12 opportunities (41.7%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, ceding 385.3 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst. On offense, they rank 24th with 299 total yards per contest.
- The Broncos’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, allowing 25.2 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 15th with 21.9 points per contest.
- The Broncos are accumulating 183.3 passing yards per game on offense this season (26th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 235.6 passing yards per contest (24th-ranked) on defense.
- The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in run defense this season, allowing 149.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 12th with 115.8 rushing yards per contest.
- The Broncos rank 23rd in the NFL with a 35.8% third-down conversion percentage, but they’ve been carried by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by giving up a 35% third-down rate.
- The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit this season in terms of yards per play, surrendering 6.3, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 17th at 5.4 yards per play.
- At +5, the Broncos sport the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 22 forced turnovers (first in NFL) and 17 turnovers committed (18th in NFL).
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 2,385 PASS YDS / 198.8 YPG / 67.5% / 21 TD / 7 INT / 63 CAR / 310 RUSH YDS / 2 TD
- Javonte Williams: 153 CAR / 584 YDS / 53.1 YPG / 0 TD / 29 REC / 155 YDS / 14.1 YPG / 2 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 50 REC / 637 YDS / 53.1 YPG / 9 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 40 REC / 491 YDS / 44.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Samaje Perine: 35 REC / 342 YDS / 28.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Alex Singleton: 120 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 PD
