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The Holiday Bowl will see the Louisville Cardinals and the USC Trojans square off on Wednesday, December 27, 2023. The matchup starts at 8:00 PM ET and airs on FOX.
The Cardinals are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-6.5), against the Trojans. The over/under for this matchup is 57.5 points.
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Game Info for Louisville vs. USC
- Game Day: Wednesday, December 27, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Rancho San Diego, California
- Stadium: Petco Park
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | -6.5 | -110 | -110 | 57.5 | -110 | -110 | -225 | +180 |
Louisville Pick Insights
- Louisville has a 6-6-1 record against the spread this season.
- When it has played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, Louisville is 4-5 against the spread.
- Six of Louisville’s 13 games with a set total have hit the over (46.2%).
Louisville Stats & Insights
- Louisville ranks 44th in total offense this year (420.4 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 16th-best in the FBS with 420.4 yards allowed per game.
- On defense, Louisville has been a top-25 unit, ranking 21st-best by giving up only 19.7 points per game. The offense ranks 45th (30.9 points per game).
- Louisville is averaging 244 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 53rd in the FBS. The defense ranks 35th, giving up 205.4 passing yards per contest.
- Defensively, Louisville has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 13th-best by giving up only 101.9 per game. The Cardinals rank 46th on offense (176.4 rushing yards per game).
- Louisville owns the 87th-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (36.6% percentage), and has been better defensively, ranking sixth-best with a 27.9% third-down percentage allowed.
- Louisville owns the 45th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing 19 turnovers (36th in the FBS) while turning it over 17 times (66th in the FBS).
Louisville’s Best Players
- Jack Plummer has racked up 3,063 yards (235.6 ypg) on 235-of-370 passing with 21 touchdowns compared to 12 interceptions this season.
- Jawhar Jordan has 1,128 rushing yards on 181 carries with 13 touchdowns. He’s also added 21 catches for 246 yards (18.9 per game) and one touchdown via the passing game.
- Isaac Guerendo has been handed the ball 109 times this year and racked up 649 yards (49.9 per game) with eight touchdowns.
- Jamari Thrash’s leads his squad with 858 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 63 receptions (out of 99 targets) and scored six touchdowns.
- Chris Bell has caught 26 passes for 386 yards (29.7 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
- Kevin Coleman Jr. has a total of 336 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 23 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
- Ashton Gillotte leads the team with 10 sacks, and also has nine TFL and 34 tackles.
- TJ Quinn, Louisville’s top tackler, has 72 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
- Devin Neal has a team-leading four interceptions to go along with 50 tackles and four passes defended.
USC Betting Insights
- USC’s ATS record is 3-9-0 this year.
- USC is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- In USC’s 12 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (75%).
USC Pick Insights
- USC ranks 12th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (438.8), but at least it has been surging on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in total yards per game (468.4).
- On defense, USC is a bottom-25 unit, surrendering 34.9 points per game (11th-worst). On the bright side, it is excelling on the offensive side of the ball, accumulating 41.8 points per contest (fourth-best).
- Defensively, USC is a bottom-25 pass unit, giving up 255.2 passing yards per game (17th-worst). Fortunately, it is dominating on the other side of the ball, accumulating 329.8 passing yards per contest (fifth-best).
- USC’s defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, ceding 183.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 91st with 138.7 rushing yards per contest.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, USC ranks 43rd in the FBS (42.1% third-down conversion percentage) and 107th defensively (42.7% third-down rate allowed).
- With 14 forced turnovers (95th in the FBS) and 16 turnovers committed (53rd in the FBS) this season, USC ranks 82nd in the FBS with a turnover margin of -2.
USC’s Best Players
- Caleb Williams has thrown for 3,633 yards (302.8 yards per game) while completing 68.4% of his passes and collecting 30 touchdown passes with five interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, MarShawn Lloyd, has carried the ball 116 times for 820 yards (68.3 per game) with nine touchdowns. He’s also caught 13 passes for 232 yards.
- Austin Jones has racked up 417 yards on 74 carries with seven touchdowns.
- Tahj Washington has totaled 52 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 963 (80.3 yards per game). He’s been targeted 70 times and has six touchdowns.
- Brenden Rice has caught 45 passes and compiled 791 receiving yards (65.9 per game) with 12 touchdowns.
- Duce Robinson’s 25 targets have resulted in 15 catches for 307 yards and one touchdown.
- Jamil Muhammad paces the team with six sacks, and also has seven TFL and 31 tackles.
- Mason Cobb, USC’s tackle leader, has 73 tackles and five TFL this year.
- Chris Roland-Wallace has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 32 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended to his name.
