Table of Contents
The Washington Commanders (4-8) take a three-game losing streak into a meeting against the Miami Dolphins (8-3) on Sunday, December 3, 2023 at FedExField.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by compiling 30.8 points per game. They rank 23rd on defense (22.8 points allowed per game). The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, surrendering 29.2 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 20th with 20.5 points per contest.
Dolphins vs. Commanders Picks
The Dolphins are projected by Splash Inc. users to both win straight up and cover the spread against the Commanders on Sunday. Right now, 97.6% of users are picking them to win and 71.4% expect the Dolphins to cover the 9.5-point spread.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, December 3, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
Get your NFL contest started with Splash Sports, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.
Start here >
Before you bet on Sunday’s Miami-Washington spread (Miami -9.5) or over/under (49.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins are 7-4-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Dolphins have a 3-1 record against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in six of the Dolphins’ 11 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- Offensively, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by totaling 430.5 yards per game. They rank seventh on defense (305.2 yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins own the 23rd-ranked defense this year (22.8 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with 30.8 points per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best in the NFL by averaging 285.3 per game. They rank 11th on defense (212.4 passing yards allowed per game).
- Offensively, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging 145.2 per game. They rank sixth on defense (92.8 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins rank 12th in third-down efficiency (42.3%) on offense and ninth in third-down percentage allowed (35.9%) on defense this season.
- The Dolphins rank ninth in yards per play allowed this season (5.3), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 7 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have the 23rd-ranked turnover margin in the league at -5, forcing 14 turnovers (20th in NFL) while turning it over 19 times (23rd in NFL).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,177 PASS YDS / 288.8 YPG / 69.8% / 22 TD / 10 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 151 CAR / 785 YDS / 71.4 YPG / 13 TD / 20 REC / 158 YDS / 14.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Devon Achane: 39 CAR / 461 YDS / 92.2 YPG / 5 TD / 10 REC / 71 YDS / 14.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 88 REC / 1,324 YDS / 120.4 YPG / 10 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 52 REC / 691 YDS / 69.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 20 REC / 194 YDS / 19.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Jevon Holland: 69 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 4 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- The Commanders’ ATS record is 5-6-1 this season.
- The Commanders are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year.
- The teams have hit the over in seven of the Commanders’ 12 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders rank 14th in total yards per game (343.8), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 377.7 total yards conceded per contest.
- The Commanders rank 20th in points per game (20.5), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 29.2 points ceded per contest.
- The Commanders rank ninth in passing yards per game (247), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 264.6 passing yards surrendered per contest.
- From an offensive angle, the Commanders are posting 96.8 rushing yards per game (25th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL defensively (113.1 rushing yards given up per game).
- With a 38.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Commanders rank 18th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, allowing a 39.5% third-down rate.
- The Commanders’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards given up per play, ranking fourth-worst at 6.1. They have been better on the other side of the ball, posting 5.6 yards per play (12th-ranked).
- Regarding turnover margin, the Commanders are the worst team in the NFL this season. The team’s margin sits at -9, as they’ve forced 13 turnovers and committed 22.
Best Players for Commanders
- Sam Howell: 3,339 PASS YDS / 278.3 YPG / 66.5% / 18 TD / 13 INT / 36 CAR / 222 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 153 CAR / 611 YDS / 50.9 YPG / 5 TD / 29 REC / 326 YDS / 27.2 YPG / 3 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 60 REC / 694 YDS / 57.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 47 REC / 443 YDS / 40.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 42 REC / 435 YDS / 36.3 YPG / 4 TD
- Kamren Curl: 93 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 PD
