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The Washington Commanders (4-8) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Dolphins (8-3) on Sunday, December 3, 2023 at FedExField.
The Dolphins rank seventh in total defense this year (305.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 430.5 total yards per game. The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, surrendering 377.7 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst. Offensively, they rank 14th with 343.8 total yards per contest.
Dolphins vs. Commanders Picks
The Dolphins are projected by Splash Inc. users to both win straight up and also cover the spread against the Commanders on Sunday. Right now, 96.0% of users are picking them to win and 100.0% are picking the Dolphins to cover the 9.5-point spread.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, December 3, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
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Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Sunday’s Miami-Washington spread (Miami -9.5) or total (50 points).
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have gone 7-4-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Dolphins have a 3-1 record against the spread.
- Dolphins games with a set total have hit the over six times this season (54.5%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins sport the seventh-ranked defense this season (305.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking best with 430.5 yards per game.
- The Dolphins have the 23rd-ranked defense this year (22.8 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking second-best with 30.8 points per game.
- The Dolphins rank 11th in pass defense this season (212.4 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 285.3 passing yards per game.
- The Dolphins own the sixth-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (92.8 rushing yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking second-best with 145.2 rushing yards per game.
- The Dolphins are posting a 42.3% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them 12th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank ninth, giving up a 35.9% third-down conversion rate.
- The Dolphins rank ninth in yards per play allowed this year (5.3), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 7.0 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have forced 14 total turnovers (18th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 19 times (23rd in NFL) for a turnover margin of -5, 22nd-ranked in the league.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,177 PASS YDS / 288.8 YPG / 69.8% / 22 TD / 10 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 151 CAR / 785 YDS / 71.4 YPG / 13 TD / 20 REC / 158 YDS / 14.4 YPG / 2 TD
- Devon Achane: 39 CAR / 461 YDS / 92.2 YPG / 5 TD / 10 REC / 71 YDS / 14.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 88 REC / 1,324 YDS / 120.4 YPG / 10 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 52 REC / 691 YDS / 69.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 20 REC / 194 YDS / 19.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Jevon Holland: 69 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1 INT / 4 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- So far this season, the Commanders have put together a 5-6-1 record against the spread.
- The Commanders are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
- The Commanders have hit the over in seven of their 12 games with a set total (58.3%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders rank 14th in total yards per game (343.8), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 377.7 total yards conceded per contest.
- The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, surrendering 29.2 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 21st with 20.5 points per contest.
- The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, surrendering 264.6 passing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank ninth with 247.0 passing yards per contest.
- From an offensive angle, the Commanders are compiling 96.8 rushing yards per game (25th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL on defense (113.1 rushing yards allowed per game).
- From an offensive perspective, the Commanders are posting a 38.2% third-down conversion percentage (18th-ranked). They rank 18th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (39.5% third-down rate allowed).
- The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five this season in terms of yards per play, allowing 6.1, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 12th at 5.6 yards per play.
- At -9, the Commanders own the worst turnover margin in the NFL this season.
Best Players for Commanders
- Sam Howell: 3,339 PASS YDS / 278.3 YPG / 66.5% / 18 TD / 13 INT / 36 CAR / 222 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 153 CAR / 611 YDS / 50.9 YPG / 5 TD / 29 REC / 326 YDS / 27.2 YPG / 3 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 60 REC / 694 YDS / 57.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 47 REC / 443 YDS / 40.3 YPG / 2 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 42 REC / 435 YDS / 36.3 YPG / 4 TD
- Kamren Curl: 93 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 4 PD
