Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators Picks & Preview | NCAAFB Week 13

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is the venue where the Florida State Seminoles (11-0) will match up against the Florida Gators (5-6) on Saturday, November 25, 2023.

The Seminoles are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-6.5), against the Gators. The over/under for this game is 49 points.

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Game Info for Florida State vs. Florida

• Game Day: Saturday, November 25, 2023
• Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Gainesville, Florida
• Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Florida State Pick Insights

• Florida State has gone 6-4-0 ATS this season.
• Florida State has a 4-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.
• Florida State games have hit the over on six of 10 occasions (60%).

Florida State Stats & Insights

• Florida State has been clicking on all fronts this season, ranking 18th-best in total offense (450.7 yards per game) and 24th-best in total defense (323.2 yards allowed per game).
• Florida State has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (seventh-best with 40.1 points per game) and scoring defense (12th-best with 16.9 points allowed per game) this season.
• Florida State has been firing on all cylinders in the passing game this year, ranking 18th-best in passing (288.5 passing yards per game) and 15th-best in passing defense (183.5 passing yards allowed per game).
• Florida State ranks 64th in run offense (162.3 rushing yards per game) and 46th in run defense (139.6 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
• On the defensive side of the ball, Florida State has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking third-best by allowing a 26.8% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 46th (41.5% third-down percentage).
• Florida State has forced 15 total turnovers (61st in the FBS) this season and have turned it over five times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +10, the seventh-best in college football.

Florida State’s Best Players

• Jordan Travis has thrown for 2,745 yards (249.5 ypg) to lead Florida State, completing 64.2% of his passes and collecting 20 touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 176 rushing yards on 73 carries with seven rushing touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Trey Benson, has carried the ball 121 times for 773 yards (70.3 per game), scoring 11 times. He’s also caught 17 passes for 214 yards and one touchdown.
• This season, Lawrance Toafili has carried the ball 54 times for 322 yards (29.3 per game) and three touchdowns, while also racking up 175 yards through the air with one touchdown.
• Keon Coleman’s team-leading 615 yards as a receiver have come on 45 receptions (out of 75 targets) with 11 touchdowns.
• Johnny Wilson has caught 33 passes for 532 yards (48.4 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
• Jaheim Bell has been the target of 51 passes and racked up 36 grabs for 465 yards, an average of 42.3 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
• Kalen DeLoach, the team’s leader in tackles and sacks, has amassed eight sacks, nine TFL and 56 tackles.
• Jarrian Jones has picked off a team-leading three passes. He also has 15 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and three passes defended to his name.

Florida Betting Insights

• So far this year, Florida has put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread.
• When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Gators are 1-2 against the spread.
• Florida has gone over in seven of their 10 games with a set total (70%).

Florida Pick Insights

• Florida is compiling 424.8 total yards per game on offense this season (42nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 396.2 total yards per game (92nd-ranked).
• Florida ranks 51st in the FBS with 29.6 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 88th with 27.9 points given up per game on the defensive side of the ball.
• From an offensive angle, Florida is putting up 272.7 passing yards per game (29th-ranked). It ranks 87th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (234.7 passing yards given up per game).
• In terms of rushing, Florida ranks 76th in the FBS on offense (152.1 rushing yards per game) and 89th on defense (161.5 rushing yards allowed per contest).
• Florida ranks 95th in the FBS with a 35.8% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 52nd with a 37.1% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.
• At -4, Florida owns the 101st-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with seven forced turnovers (129th in the FBS) and 11 turnovers committed (21st in the FBS).

Florida’s Best Players

• Graham Mertz has thrown for 2,878 yards on 72.8% passing while tossing 20 touchdown passes with three interceptions this season.
• The team’s top rusher, Montrell Johnson, has carried the ball 134 times for 710 yards (64.5 per game) with four touchdowns. He’s also caught 30 passes for 236 yards and one touchdown.
• Trevor Etienne has compiled 710 yards on 121 carries with eight touchdowns, while also catching 18 passes for 173 yards and one score.
• Ricky Pearsall has hauled in 953 receiving yards on 63 receptions to pace his team so far this season while scoring four touchdowns as a receiver.
• Eugene Wilson III has put up a 502-yard season so far with six touchdowns. He’s caught 58 passes on 71 targets.
• Arlis Boardingham’s 26 receptions (on 34 targets) have netted him 289 yards (26.3 ypg) and four touchdowns.
• Princely Umanmielen has six sacks to pace the team, and also has eight TFL and 37 tackles.
• Shemar James is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s collected 50 tackles, five TFL, and one sack.
• Devin Moore has picked off a team-high one pass. He also has seven tackles and one pass defended to his name.