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One of the best rushers in college football will be on display when Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (4-5) host the East Carolina Pirates (2-8) on Saturday, November 18, 2023.
The Midshipmen are small favorites (-2.5) in their game against the Pirates, with the over/under at 32.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Midshipmen are -140 and the Pirates are +117.)
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Game Info for Navy vs. East Carolina
- Game Day: Saturday, November 18, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPNews
- Location: Annapolis, Maryland
- Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | -2.5 | -112 | -108 | 32.5 | -110 | -110 | -140 | +117 |
Navy Pick Insights
- Navy has a 3-4-1 record against the spread this season.
- In games it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, Navy is 1-3 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in three of Navy’s eight games with a set total.
Navy Stats & Insights
- While Navy ranks 57th in total defense with 367.7 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been slightly worse, ranking 12th-worst (307.2 yards per game).
- Navy ranks 17th-worst in scoring offense (19.7 points per game), but has been slightly better on defense, ranking 42nd with 21.4 points allowed per game.
- Navy ranks second-worst in passing offense (101.8 passing yards per game), but thas been slightly better on defense, ranking 85th with 235.6 passing yards allowed per contest.
- Navy ranks 42nd in run defense this season (132.1 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with 205.4 rushing yards per game.
- Navy has struggled on third down, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS (29.7%) this season. However, the defense ranks 25th-best on the defensive side of the ball, allowing a 33.3% third-down percentage.
- With 19 forced turnovers (10th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (sixth in the FBS), Navy’s +12 turnover margin is the second-best in college football.
Navy’s Best Players
- Tai Lavatai has thrown for 522 yards (58 ypg) to lead Navy, completing 53.3% of his passes and recording four touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 171 rushing yards on 56 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
- Tecza has 629 rushing yards on 91 carries with four touchdowns.
- This season, Dabe Fofana has carried the ball 64 times for 247 yards (27.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Eli Heidenreich’s team-high 267 yards as a receiver have come on 12 receptions (out of 22 targets) with four touchdowns.
- Brandon Chatman has hauled in 13 receptions totaling 211 yards so far this campaign.
- Nathan Kent’s four catches are good enough for 77 yards and one touchdown.
- Luke Pirris has collected 3.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording five TFL and 40 tackles.
- Colin Ramos, Navy’s tackle leader, has 76 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Rayuan Lane has a team-high four interceptions to go along with 46 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and six passes defended.
East Carolina Betting Insights
- East Carolina is 5-5-0 against the spread this year.
- East Carolina has a 4-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
- In East Carolina’s 10 games with a set total, three have hit the over (30%).
East Carolina Pick Insights
- East Carolina ranks third-worst in total yards per game (270.9), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 37th in the FBS with 336 total yards allowed per contest.
- East Carolina ranks eighth-worst in points per game (18.1), but it has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 49th in the FBS with 23 points allowed per contest.
- East Carolina’s passing offense has been bottom-25 this season, putting up 162.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 59th with 223.1 passing yards ceded per contest.
- While East Carolina’s run offense has been sputtering, ranking 19th-worst with 108.1 rushing yards per game, its defense ranks 24th-best with only 112.9 rushing yards conceded per contest.
- East Carolina ranks 16th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (32%), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 77th in the FBS with a 39.6% third-down rate allowed.
- At +1, East Carolina sports the 55th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (72nd in the FBS) and 12 turnovers committed (41st in the FBS).
East Carolina’s Best Players
- Alex Flinn has thrown for 1,219 yards on 52.6% passing while collecting four touchdown passes with eight interceptions this season.
- Rahjai Harris is his team’s leading rusher with 107 carries for 341 yards, or 34.1 per game. He’s found the end zone four times on the ground, as well.
- Mason Garcia has run for 227 yards across 50 carries, scoring two touchdowns.
- Chase Sowell’s 452 receiving yards (45.2 yards per game) lead the team. He has 36 receptions on 65 targets with one touchdown.
- Jaylen Johnson has racked up 421 receiving yards (42.1 yards per game) and one touchdown on 38 receptions.
- Jsi Hatfield’s 50 targets have resulted in 23 grabs for 278 yards.
- Chad Stephens paces the team with 3.5 sacks, and also has eight TFL and 32 tackles.
- Julius Wood has 68 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.
