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The Texas State Bobcats (6-4) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) at Centennial Bank Stadium.
The Bobcats are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3.5), versus the Red Wolves. The over/under for this matchup is 59.5 points.
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Game Info for Texas State vs. Arkansas State
- Game Day: Saturday, November 18, 2023
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Jonesboro, Arkansas
- Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas State | -3.5 | -110 | -110 | 59.5 | -110 | -110 | -180 | +155 |
Texas State Pick Insights
- Texas State has gone 4-5-0 ATS this season.
- Texas State is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Two of Texas State’s nine games with a set total have hit the over (22.2%).
Texas State Stats & Insights
- Texas State sports the 100th-ranked defense this season (400.9 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 16th-best with a tally of 454.4 yards per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, Texas State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 21st-best in the FBS by totaling 34.9 points per game. The Bobcats rank 90th on defense (28.5 points allowed per game).
- Despite having a bottom-25 pass defense that ranks 25th-worst in the FBS (248.2 passing yards allowed per game), Texas State has played better offensively, ranking 46th in the FBS by totaling 253.7 passing yards per game.
- Texas State sports the 77th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (152.7 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 15th-best with 200.7 rushing yards per game.
- Texas State has struggled on defense in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS (48.1% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Bobcats ranks 25th-best, putting up a 44.9% third-down conversion rate.
- Texas State ranks 83rd in college football with a -2 turnover margin after forcing 13 turnovers (72nd in the FBS) while committing 15 (80th in the FBS).
Texas State’s Best Players
- TJ Finley has thrown for 2,454 yards (245.4 ypg) to lead Texas State, completing 68.9% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes compared to five interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Ismail Mahdi, has carried the ball 159 times for 1,050 yards (105 per game), scoring eight times.
- Donerio Davenport has carried the ball 71 times for 350 yards (35 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Joey Hobert has hauled in 64 receptions for 804 yards (80.4 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone seven times as a receiver.
- Kole Wilson has grabbed 45 passes while averaging 52.7 yards per game and scoring five touchdowns.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has a total of 523 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 39 passes and scoring two touchdowns.
- Ben Bell leads the team with seven sacks, and also has 11 TFL and 40 tackles.
- So far Brian Holloway leads the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has collected 70 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions this season.
Arkansas State Betting Insights
- Arkansas State has a 5-4-1 record against the spread this year.
- Arkansas State is a 3-4 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
- In Arkansas State’s 10 games with a set total, four have hit the over (40%).
Arkansas State Pick Insights
- Arkansas State’s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, ceding 431.4 total yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst. Offensively, it ranks 78th with 371.4 total yards per contest.
- Arkansas State ranks 94th in the FBS with 23.5 points per game on offense, and it ranks 106th with 30.8 points given up per contest on defense.
- Arkansas State ranks 74th in passing yards per game (222.2), but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with 256 passing yards surrendered per contest.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, allowing 175.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 79th with 149.2 rushing yards per contest.
- From an offensive standpoint, Arkansas State is posting a 34.6% third-down conversion rate (107th-ranked). It ranks 70th in the FBS on defense (39% third-down rate allowed).
- At -2, Arkansas State sports the 83rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with eight forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (21st in the FBS).
Arkansas State’s Best Players
- Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,834 yards (183.4 ypg) while completing 58.5% of his passes and collecting 14 touchdown passes with five interceptions this season. He’s also run for 333 yards with five touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Ja’Quez Cross, has carried the ball 96 times for 522 yards (52.2 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Zak Wallace has run for 491 yards across 114 carries, scoring four touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson’s 503 receiving yards (50.3 yards per game) are a team high. He has 27 catches on 48 targets with six touchdowns.
- Corey Rucker has totaled 461 receiving yards (46.1 yards per game) on 24 receptions.
- Jeff Foreman’s 19 receptions (on 37 targets) have netted him 395 yards (39.5 ypg) and four touchdowns.
- Keyron Crawford paces the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 34 tackles.
- Arkansas State’s leading tackler, Trevian Thomas, has 57 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.
- Eddie Smith has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 18 tackles and two passes defended to his name.