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One of the top quarterbacks in college football will be on display when Kaidon Salter and the Liberty Flames (10-0) host the UMass Minutemen (3-7) on Saturday, November 18, 2023.
The Flames are expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -27.5) versus the Minutemen. The over/under for this matchup is 62 points.
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Game Info for Liberty vs. UMass
- Game Day: Saturday, November 18, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Lynchburg, Virginia
- Stadium: Williams Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | -27.5 | -110 | -110 | 62 | -110 | -110 | -6582 | +1825 |
Liberty Pick Insights
- Liberty is 8-1-0 ATS this season.
- The teams have hit the over in five of Liberty’s nine games with a set total.
Liberty Stats & Insights
- Liberty sports the 43rd-ranked defense this year (347.4 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking seventh-best with a tally of 496.4 yards per game.
- On offense, Liberty has been a top-25 unit, ranking 10th-best in the FBS by totaling 39 points per game. The Flames rank 34th on defense (20.7 points allowed per game).
- From an offensive standpoint, Liberty ranks 79th in the FBS with 218.4 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 76th in passing yards allowed per contest (233).
- Offensively, Liberty has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the FBS by averaging 278 per game. The Flames rank 27th on defense (114.4 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Liberty owns the 53rd-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (37% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective on offense, ranking ninth-best with a 49.1% third-down conversion rate.
- Liberty has forced 20 total turnovers (fifth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 11 times (29th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +9, the ninth-best in college football.
Liberty’s Best Players
- Salter has thrown for 2,184 yards, completing 59.3% of his passes and recording 26 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He’s also run for 705 yards (70.5 ypg) on 115 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Quinton Cooley, has carried the ball 181 times for 1,066 yards (106.6 per game), scoring nine times.
- CJ Daniels’ leads his squad with 792 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 37 receptions (out of 60 targets) and scored eight touchdowns.
- Treon Sibley has caught 19 passes for 429 yards (42.9 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
- Noah Frith has a total of 221 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 11 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
- CJ Bazile Jr. has three sacks to pace the team, and also has three TFL and 28 tackles.
- Tyren Dupree is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s amassed 77 tackles, four TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions.
- Brylan Green has a team-high five interceptions to go along with 31 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
UMass Betting Insights
- UMass is 4-6-0 against the spread this year.
- UMass is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 27.5 points or more this year.
- UMass games have hit the over in seven out of 10 opportunities (70%).
UMass Pick Insights
- UMass’ defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, allowing 416.1 total yards per game, which ranks 24th-worst. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 88th with 359.5 total yards per contest.
- UMass has not been getting things done on defense, ranking third-worst with 37.4 points surrendered per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 23.5 points per contest (94th-ranked).
- With 204.6 passing yards per game on offense, UMass ranks 92nd in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 40th, giving up 207.5 passing yards per contest.
- UMass’ defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, allowing 208.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 71st with 154.9 rushing yards per contest.
- UMass ranks 81st in third-down conversion rate (37.7%) on offense, but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with a 45.8% third-down percentage allowed.
- UMass has compiled 13 forced turnovers (72nd in the FBS) and committed 11 turnovers (29th in the FBS) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 47th in the FBS.
UMass’ Best Players
- Taisun Phommachanh leads UMass with 1,038 yards on 99-of-159 passing with four touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.
- Kay’Ron Adams is his team’s leading rusher with 201 carries for 1,014 yards, or 101.4 per game. He’s found the end zone nine times on the ground, as well.
- Gregroy Desrosiers has run for 285 yards across 31 attempts, scoring four touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson has registered 45 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 637 (63.7 yards per game). He’s been targeted 74 times and has three touchdowns.
- George Johnson has caught 28 passes and compiled 355 receiving yards (35.5 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Mark Pope has racked up 301 reciving yards (30.1 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Billy Wooden leads the team with five sacks, and also has five TFL and 39 tackles.
- Nahji Logan, UMass’ top tackler, has 43 tackles, two TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.
- Juan Lua leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 16 tackles and two passes defended.
