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Troy Franklin and the Oregon Ducks (8-1) will host Caleb Williams and the USC Trojans (7-3) on Saturday at 10:30 PM ET, in a battle between a pair of the brightest offensive stars in college football.
The Ducks are expected to come out on top by at least two touchdowns (currently -15) against the Trojans. The over/under for this game is 73.5 points.
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Game Info for Oregon vs. USC
- Game Day: Saturday, November 11, 2023
- Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Eugene, Oregon
- Stadium: Autzen Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | -15 | -110 | -110 | 73.5 | -112 | -108 | -743 | +516 |
Oregon Pick Insights
- Oregon has a 6-1-1 record against the spread this season.
- Oregon is 4-1 against the spread when favored by 15 points or more this season.
- Three of Oregon’s eight games with a set total have hit the over (37.5%).
Oregon Stats & Insights
- Oregon has been finding success on both offense and defense, ranking second-best in total offense (539.8 yards per game) and 18th-best in total defense (301.7 yards allowed per game).
- Oregon has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (best with 47.4 points per game) and scoring defense (11th-best with 16 points allowed per game) this year.
- Oregon ranks 38th in pass defense this year (204.6 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 332.4 passing yards per game.
- Oregon has been clicking on all fronts in the running game this year, ranking 11th-best in rushing offense (207.3 rushing yards per game) and 13th-best in rushing defense (97.1 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Oregon has been a tough opponent for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (third-best with a 55.2% third-down conversion rate) and third-down defense (25th-best with a 32.8% third-down conversion rate allowed) this year.
- With 12 forced turnovers (73rd in the FBS) against four turnovers committed (first in the FBS), Oregon’s +8 turnover margin is the ninth-best in college football.
Oregon’s Best Players
- Bo Nix has 2,723 pass yards for Oregon, completing 78.1% of his passes and throwing 25 touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He’s also chipped in on the ground with 116 rushing yards (12.9 ypg) on 37 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
- Mar’Keise Irving has racked up 821 yards on 119 carries while finding the end zone nine times as a runner. He’s also caught 35 passes for 286 yards (31.8 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
- Jordan James has been handed the ball 70 times this year and racked up 545 yards (60.6 per game) with nine touchdowns.
- Franklin’s leads his squad with 946 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 58 receptions (out of 80 targets) and scored 10 touchdowns.
- Tez Johnson has caught 46 passes for 599 yards (66.6 yards per game) and six touchdowns this year.
- Terrance Ferguson’s 27 grabs have turned into 287 yards and two touchdowns.
- Brandon Dorlus has four sacks to pace the team, and also has four TFL and 18 tackles.
- Evan Williams is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s racked up 50 tackles, three TFL, and 3.5 sacks.
- Tysheem Johnson has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 40 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
USC Betting Insights
- USC is just 2-8-0 against the spread this season.
- In USC’s 10 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (90%).
USC Pick Insights
- Defensively, USC is bottom-25, allowing 436 total yards per game (11th-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 485.5 total yards per contest (eighth-best).
- While USC’s defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 10th-worst by allowing 34.5 points per game, its offense ranks second-best with 45.5 points per contest.
- USC’s passing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 326.7 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is allowing 249.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 108th.
- USC ranks 70th in rushing yards per game (158.8), but it has been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th-worst in the FBS with 186.5 rushing yards surrendered per contest.
- From an offensive angle, USC is putting up a 42.6% third-down conversion percentage (43rd-ranked). It ranks 75th in the FBS on defense (39.4% third-down rate allowed).
- After forcing 14 turnovers (42nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (59th in the FBS) this season, USC sports the 45th-ranked turnover margin of +2.
USC’s Best Players
- Caleb Williams leads USC with 2,958 yards on 216-of-313 passing with 28 touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 146 rushing yards (14.6 ypg) on 84 carries while scoring 10 touchdowns on the ground.
- The team’s top rusher, MarShawn Lloyd, has carried the ball 99 times for 766 yards (76.6 per game) with eight touchdowns. He’s also caught 10 passes for 157 yards.
- Austin Jones has piled up 385 yards (on 61 attempts) with five touchdowns.
- Tahj Washington has registered 43 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 833 (83.3 yards per game). He’s been targeted 56 times and has six touchdowns.
- Brenden Rice has racked up 563 receiving yards (56.3 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns on 32 receptions.
- Mario Williams’ 28 catches (on 39 targets) have netted him 301 yards (30.1 ypg) and two touchdowns.
- Jamil Muhammad paces the team with six sacks, and also has seven TFL and 26 tackles.
- USC’s top-tackler, Mason Cobb, has 60 tackles and five TFL this year.
- Calen Bullock has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 48 tackles and two passes defended to his name.
