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The Buffalo Bills (5-4) play the Denver Broncos (3-5) at Highmark Stadium on Monday, November 13, 2023.
The Bills rank 17th in total defense this season (334.0 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 370.2 total yards per game. The Broncos have been struggling on defense, ranking worst with 405.9 total yards surrendered per game. They have been more productive offensively, posting 302.1 total yards per contest (22nd-ranked).
Bills vs. Broncos Picks
Splash Inc. users think the Bills will win straight up and cover against the Broncos, with 96.8% of users picking them to win and 73.1% picking them to cover the 7.5-point spread on Monday.
Game Info: Bills vs. Broncos
- Game Day: Monday, November 13, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you bet on Monday’s Buffalo-Denver spread (Buffalo -7.5) or total (47 points).
Game Trends for Bills
- So far this season, the Bills have put together a 3-6-0 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, the Bills are 1-3 against the spread.
- The Bills have gone over in three of their nine games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills sport the 17th-ranked defense this year (334.0 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking fifth-best with 370.2 yards per game.
- The Bills have been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (fifth-best with 26.7 points per game) and scoring defense (fifth-best with 17.8 points allowed per game) this year.
- The Bills have the 14th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (219.6 allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fifth-best with 262.1 passing yards per game.
- The Bills rank 16th in run offense (108.1 rushing yards per game) and 18th in run defense (114.4 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
- The Bills sport the 23rd-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (41.7% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking best with a 50.0% third-down percentage.
- The Bills rank 27th in yards per play allowed this year (5.9), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 6.0 yards per play.
- With 14 forced turnovers (seventh in NFL) against 14 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Bills (0) have the 12th-ranked turnover margin in the league.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 2,423 PASS YDS / 269.2 YPG / 71.3% / 18 TD / 9 INT / 44 CAR / 233 RUSH YDS / 6 TD
- James Cook: 108 CAR / 506 YDS / 56.2 YPG / 1 TD / 22 REC / 211 YDS / 23.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 70 REC / 834 YDS / 92.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 31 REC / 434 YDS / 48.2 YPG / 5 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 40 REC / 339 YDS / 42.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 80 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 2 INT / 4 PD
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos have covered the spread twice in eight opportunities this year.
- The Broncos are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
- Out of the Broncos’ eight games with a set total, four have hit the over (50%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos rank 22nd in total yards per game (302.1), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 405.9 total yards surrendered per contest.
- The Broncos rank 16th in points per game (21.5), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 28.3 points surrendered per contest.
- The Broncos rank fifth-worst in passing yards per game (185.4), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 26th in the NFL with 251.8 passing yards surrendered per contest.
- The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in run defense this season, allowing 154.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 11th with 116.8 rushing yards per contest.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Broncos rank 15th in the NFL (40.2% third-down conversion rate) and 14th on the other side of the ball (38.5% third-down rate allowed).
- The Broncos’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards allowed per play, ranking worst at 6.6. They have been better on the other side of the ball, generating 5.6 yards per play (11th-ranked).
- The Broncos sport a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 12th in the NFL.
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 1,613 PASS YDS / 201.6 YPG / 66.1% / 16 TD / 4 INT / 31 CAR / 201 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Javonte Williams: 90 CAR / 357 YDS / 51.0 YPG / 0 TD / 17 REC / 78 YDS / 11.1 YPG / 1 TD
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 38 CAR / 268 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD / 12 REC / 65 YDS / 8.1 YPG / 2 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 33 REC / 380 YDS / 47.5 YPG / 6 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 27 REC / 336 YDS / 48.0 YPG / 1 TD
- Marvin Mims: 11 REC / 246 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 1 TD
- Alex Singleton: 71 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1 PD
