SMU Mustangs vs. North Texas Mean Green Picks & Preview | NCAAFB Week 11

Jay Maclin will lead the North Texas Mean Green (3-6) into their game versus the SMU Mustangs (7-2) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday at 9:00 PM ET.

The Mustangs are very heavy favorites (currently -15.5) in their game against the Mean Green, with the over/under at 67.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Mustangs are -831 and the Mean Green are +567.)

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Game Info for SMU vs. North Texas

• Game Day: Friday, November 10, 2023
• Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Location: University Park, Texas
• Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

SMU Pick Insights

• SMU has posted a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• SMU has a 3-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 15.5 points or more this season.
• SMU games have hit the over on three of eight occasions (37.5%).

SMU Stats & Insights

• SMU has been surging on both sides of the ball, ranking 14th-best in total offense (465.3 yards per game) and eighth-best in total defense (281.8 yards allowed per game).
• SMU has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank seventh-best in scoring offense (40 points per game) and ninth-best in scoring defense (15.9 points allowed per game).
• SMU has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams in the passing game, with a top-25 ranking in both passing offense (20th-best with 291.2 passing yards per game) and passing defense (ninth-best with 166.4 passing yards allowed per game) this season.
• SMU is averaging 174.1 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 42nd in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 30th, giving up 115.3 rushing yards per contest.
• SMU ranks 40th in third-down percentage this year (43%), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking seventh-best in the FBS with a 28.1% third-down percentage allowed.
• With 10 forced turnovers (94th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (14th in the FBS), SMU (+2) has the 45th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

SMU’s Best Players

• Preston Stone has 2,362 pass yards for SMU, completing 58.9% of his passes and recording 21 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 199 rushing yards (22.1 ypg) on 48 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
• Jaylan Knighton has racked up 511 yards on 94 carries while finding the end zone four times as a runner.
• LJ Johnson Jr. has collected 321 yards on 58 attempts, scoring one time.
• Jake Bailey’s 384 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 41 times and has collected 31 catches.
• Jordan Kerley has put together a 319-yard season so far with two touchdowns, hauling in 18 passes on 31 targets.
• Jordan Hudson’s 22 receptions are good enough for 317 yards and five touchdowns.
• Elijah Roberts has 6.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has six TFL and 21 tackles.
• SMU’s tackle leader, Kobe Wilson, has 44 tackles, two TFL, and one interception this year.
• Isaiah Nwokobia has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 40 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two passes defended to his name.

North Texas Betting Insights

• North Texas’ ATS record is 5-3-1 this year.
• In games it has played as at least 15.5-point underdogs this year, North Texas is 1-0 against the spread.
• The teams have hit the over in five of North Texas’ nine games with a set total.

North Texas Pick Insights

• While North Texas’ defense has been sputtering, ranking second-worst by giving up 468.3 total yards per game, its offense ranks 10th-best with 482.3 total yards per contest.
• North Texas ranks fifth-worst in points allowed per game on defense (36.7), but at least it has been excelling on the other side of the ball, ranking 22nd-best in points per game (34.8).
• North Texas’ passing attack has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with 301.7 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 208.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 44th.
• North Texas has been struggling to stop the run, ranking worst with 260 rushing yards given up per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, generating 180.7 rushing yards per contest (36th-ranked).
• North Texas has been struggling on third down, ranking 19th-worst with a 45% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, posting a 43.7% third-down rate (35th-ranked).
• At -2, North Texas sports the 81st-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 12 forced turnovers (73rd in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (83rd in the FBS).

North Texas’ Best Players

• Chandler Rogers has recored 2,445 passing yards, or 271.7 per game, so far this season. He has completed 63.3% of his passes and has recorded 21 touchdowns with three interceptions. He’s also contributed on the ground with 16 rushing yards per game while scoring as a runner three times.
• Ayo Adeyi is his team’s leading rusher with 98 carries for 716 yards, or 79.6 per game. He’s found paydirt four times on the ground, as well.
• Oscar Adaway III has rushed for 409 yards on 77 carries with four touchdowns.
• Maclin has racked up 766 receiving yards on 44 receptions to pace his team so far this season while scoring 11 touchdowns as a receiver.
• Roderic Burns has 36 receptions (on 55 targets) for a total of 432 yards (48 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
• Damon Ward Jr. has racked up 385 reciving yards (42.8 ypg) and four touchdowns this season.
• Ethan Wesloski has collected two sacks to pace the team, while also recording three TFL and 48 tackles.
• Jordan Brown is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 64 tackles, one TFL, and one sack.
• Phillip Hill leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 33 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.