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The Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) and the Miami Dolphins (6-2) play at Deutsche Bank Park on Sunday, November 5, 2023.
The Chiefs have been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both total offense (fourth-best with 381.5 yards per game) and total defense (fourth-best with 287.8 yards allowed per game) this season. The Dolphins’ offense has been excelling, accumulating 453.3 total yards per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank 15th by allowing 329.4 total yards per game.
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Picks
Splash Inc. users think the Chiefs will win straight up against the Dolphins on Sunday, with 59.6% of users picking them to come out on top. However 66.7% of users are picking the Dolphins to cover the 2.5-point spread.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, November 5, 2023
- Game Time: 9:30 AM ET
- TV Channel: NFL Network
- Location: Frankfurt-Flughafen, Germany
- Stadium: Deutsche Bank Park
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Before placing a wager on Sunday’s Kansas City-Miami spread (Kansas City -2.5) or over/under (50.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have gone 5-3-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 2.5 points or more, the Chiefs have a 5-3 record against the spread.
- Two of the Chiefs’ eight games with a set total have hit the over (25%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have been shining on both sides of the ball, ranking fourth-best in total offense (381.5 yards per game) and fourth-best in total defense (287.8 yards allowed per game).
- The Chiefs rank 12th in points scored this year (23.4 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 16.1 points allowed per game.
- The Chiefs have been finding success on both offense and defense in the passing game, ranking third-best in passing offense (276.4 passing yards per game) and second-best in passing defense (176.1 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Chiefs are putting up 105.1 rushing yards per game on offense (21st in the NFL), and they rank 19th defensively with 111.6 rushing yards allowed per game.
- The Chiefs sport the 14th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (37.9% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with a 47.1% third-down percentage.
- The Chiefs have been finding success on both offense and defense in terms of yards per play, ranking third-best in yards per play on offense (6) and third-best in yards per play allowed on defense (5.1).
- The Chiefs have forced 12 total turnovers (10th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 16 times (30th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -4, 25th-ranked in the league.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 2,258 PASS YDS / 282.3 YPG / 68.8% / 15 TD / 8 INT / 36 CAR / 234 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 108 CAR / 459 YDS / 57.4 YPG / 3 TD / 24 REC / 160 YDS / 20 YPG / 1 TD
- Travis Kelce: 54 REC / 583 YDS / 83.3 YPG / 4 TD
- Rashee Rice: 30 REC / 361 YDS / 45.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Justin Watson: 12 REC / 261 YDS / 37.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Drue Tranquill: 47 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins are 6-2-0 ATS this season.
- The Dolphins have a 1-2 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
- In the Dolphins’ eight games with a set total, five have hit the over (62.5%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been excelling, posting 453.3 total yards per game (best) this season. On defense, they rank 15th by giving up 329.4 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 33.9 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 25.5 points per game, which ranks 25th.
- The Dolphins’ pass offense has been dominant, racking up 301.5 passing yards per contest (best) this season. On defense, they rank 16th by surrendering 221.5 passing yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ run defense ranks 17th in the NFL with 107.9 rushing yards surrendered per game, but they’ve been lifted up by their offense, which ranks best by accumulating 151.8 rushing yards per contest.
- From an offensive angle, the Dolphins are posting a 41.7% third-down conversion percentage (10th-ranked). They rank 11th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (37.5% third-down rate allowed).
- The Dolphins’ defense ranks 16th in the NFL with 5.5 yards allowed per play, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks best by racking up 7.5 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have compiled eight forced turnovers (24th in NFL) and committed 12 turnovers (19th in NFL) this season for a -4 turnover margin that ranks 25th in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 2,416 PASS YDS / 302 YPG / 70.4% / 18 TD / 7 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 97 CAR / 520 YDS / 65 YPG / 10 TD / 19 REC / 151 YDS / 18.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Salvon Ahmed: 16 CAR / 51 YDS / 10.2 YPG / 1 TD / 11 REC / 55 YDS / 11 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 61 REC / 1,014 YDS / 126.8 YPG / 8 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 37 REC / 480 YDS / 68.6 YPG / 3 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 20 REC / 194 YDS / 24.3 YPG / 1 TD
- David Long: 54 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 PD