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The Miami Dolphins (5-2) meet a fellow AFC East opponent when they host the New England Patriots (2-5) on Sunday, October 29, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Dolphins rank 27th in scoring defense this year (26.7 points allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 34.3 points per game. In terms of total offense, the Patriots rank 25th in the NFL (294.3 total yards per game) and ninth on the other side of the ball (311.3 total yards allowed per game).
Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks
A majority of Splash Inc. users are picking the Patriots to win as underdogs against the Dolphins on Sunday (3.0% of users), while 58.1% think the Dolphins will cover the spread as 8-point favorites.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Read the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Sunday’s Miami-New England spread (Miami -8) or total (46.5 points).
Game Trends for Dolphins
- So far this season, the Dolphins have posted a 5-2-0 record against the spread.
- The Dolphins are 2-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 8-point favorites.
- Four of the Dolphins’ seven games with a set total have hit the over (57.1%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins rank 20th in total defense this year (345.3 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 462.3 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins have the 27th-ranked defense this season (26.7 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 34.3 points per game.
- The Dolphins rank 20th in pass defense this year (233 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 300 passing yards per game.
- On offense, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the NFL by totaling 162.3 per game. They rank 19th on defense (112.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins are putting up a 42.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 10th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 18th, surrendering a 40% third-down conversion rate.
- The Dolphins rank 17th in yards per play allowed this year (5.5), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 7.8 yards per play.
- With seven forced turnovers (22nd in NFL) against 10 turnovers committed (17th in NFL), the Dolphins (-3) own the 23rd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 2,092 PASS YDS / 298.9 YPG / 71.2% / 15 TD / 6 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 84 CAR / 474 YDS / 67.7 YPG / 9 TD / 19 REC / 151 YDS / 21.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Salvon Ahmed: 14 CAR / 50 YDS / 12.5 YPG / 1 TD / 7 REC / 39 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 53 REC / 902 YDS / 128.9 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 30 REC / 359 YDS / 59.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 18 REC / 186 YDS / 26.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Jevon Holland: 51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots is 2-5-0 against the spread this year.
- Out of thePatriots’ seven games with a set total, two have hit the over (28.6%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank 25th with 294.3 total yards per game on offense, and they rank ninth with 311.3 total yards ceded per game on defense.
- The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, generating 14.4 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th with 25.3 points ceded per contest.
- The Patriots rank 21st in the NFL with 208.9 passing yards per game on offense, and they rank 12th with 210.6 passing yards surrendered per contest on defense.
- The Patriots rank 27th in the NFL with 85.4 rushing yards per game on offense, and they rank 13th with 100.7 rushing yards ceded per contest on defense.
- With a 36.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Patriots rank 23rd in the NFL. On defense, they rank 14th, giving up a 37.9% third-down rate.
- In terms of yards per play, the Patriots’ defense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank third-best in the NFL with 5 yards allowed per play. In terms of offense, they are posting 5 yards per play, which ranks 24th.
- The Patriots sport a bottom-five turnover margin this season, third-worst at -7.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,480 PASS YDS / 211.4 YPG / 66.7% / 7 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 87 CAR / 268 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 2 TD / 23 REC / 162 YDS / 23.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 60 CAR / 224 YDS / 32 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 8.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 34 REC / 370 YDS / 52.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Hunter Henry: 20 REC / 210 YDS / 30 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 14 REC / 197 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 49 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 PD
