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The Miami Dolphins (5-2) meet a familiar opponent when they host the New England Patriots (2-5) on Sunday, October 29, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium in an AFC East clash.
The Dolphins rank 21st in total defense this year (345.3 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 462.3 total yards per game. The Patriots are putting up 294.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (25th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 311.3 total yards per contest (ninth-ranked).
Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks
At the moment, 97.5% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Dolphins to win and 59.5% are picking them to cover the 9.5-point spread as well against the Patriots on Sunday.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Miami is a 9.5-point favorite over New England on Sunday and the total has been set at 47 points. Below are a few betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the contest.
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have a 5-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Dolphins are 2-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
- The teams have hit the over in four of the Dolphins’ seven games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have the 21st-ranked defense this year (345.3 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 462.3 yards per game.
- The Dolphins rank 27th in scoring defense this season (26.7 points allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 34.3 points per game.
- On offense, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 300 per game. They rank 20th on defense (233 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins rank 19th in run defense this year (112.3 rushing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 162.3 rushing yards per game.
- The Dolphins are putting up a 42.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 11th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 18th, allowing a 40% third-down conversion rate.
- The Dolphins sport the 17th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.5 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking best with 7.8 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have forced seven total turnovers (22nd in NFL) this season and have turned it over 10 times (17th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -3, 23rd-ranked in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 2,092 PASS YDS / 298.9 YPG / 71.2% / 15 TD / 6 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 84 CAR / 474 YDS / 67.7 YPG / 9 TD / 19 REC / 151 YDS / 21.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Salvon Ahmed: 14 CAR / 50 YDS / 12.5 YPG / 1 TD / 7 REC / 39 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 53 REC / 902 YDS / 128.9 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 30 REC / 359 YDS / 59.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 18 REC / 186 YDS / 26.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Jevon Holland: 51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots have covered the spread twice in seven opportunities this season.
- Two of the Patriots’ seven games with a set total have hit the over (28.6%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots are accumulating 294.3 total yards per game on offense this season (25th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 311.3 total yards per game (ninth-ranked).
- The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, posting 14.4 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th with 25.3 points allowed per contest.
- In terms of passing, the Patriots rank 21st in the NFL (208.9 passing yards per game) and 12th defensively (210.6 passing yards allowed per game).
- In terms of rushing, the Patriots rank 27th in the NFL on offense (85.4 rushing yards per game) and 13th on defense (100.7 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Patriots rank 23rd in the NFL with a 36.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 14th with a 37.9% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Patriots rank 24th in the NFL with 5 yards per play, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks third-best by allowing just 5 yards per play.
- The Patriots have forced five turnovers this season and have turned it over 12 times, resulting in a -7 turnover margin that is third-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,480 PASS YDS / 211.4 YPG / 66.7% / 7 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 87 CAR / 268 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 2 TD / 23 REC / 162 YDS / 23.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 60 CAR / 224 YDS / 32 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 8.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 34 REC / 370 YDS / 52.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Hunter Henry: 20 REC / 210 YDS / 30 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 14 REC / 197 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 49 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 PD
