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At Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday, Kimani Vidal and the Troy Trojans (5-2) face Ismail Mahdi and the Texas State Bobcats (5-2) in a matchup featuring two star rushers, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
The Bobcats are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+5.5), versus the Trojans (with an over/under of 53 points).
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Game Info for Troy vs. Texas State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 28, 2023
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: San Marcos, Texas
- Stadium: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -5.5 | -110 | -110 | 53 | -110 | -110 | -216 | +178 |
Troy Pick Insights
- Troy’s ATS record is 3-3-0 this season.
- Troy is 2-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
- In Troy’s six games with a set total, one has hit the over (16.7%).
Troy Stats & Insights
- Troy has been thriving on both offense and defense, ranking 25th-best in total offense (444.7 yards per game) and 10th-best in total defense (281.6 yards allowed per game).
- Troy sports the 81st-ranked offense this season (26.6 points per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 17th-best with only 17.4 points allowed per game.
- Defensively, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 18th-best by allowing just 183 passing yards per game. The Trojans rank 44th on offense (259.1 passing yards per game).
- On the defensive side of the ball, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 17th-best by allowing only 98.6 per game. The Trojans rank 31st on offense (185.6 rushing yards per game).
- Troy ranks 71st in third-down percentage this season (39.8%), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS with a 32.3% third-down conversion rate allowed.
- With 11 forced turnovers (50th in the FBS) against 13 turnovers committed (104th in the FBS), Troy (-2) has the 85th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
Troy’s Best Players
- Gunnar Watson has 1,765 pass yards for Troy, completing 59.4% of his passes and throwing 11 touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
- Vidal has 951 rushing yards on 154 carries with six touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 10 catches for 140 yards (20 per game) and one touchdown via the passing game.
- This season, Damien Taylor has carried the ball 40 times for 242 yards (34.6 per game) and one touchdown.
- Jabre Barber’s team-leading 455 yards as a receiver have come on 29 receptions (out of 56 targets) with two touchdowns.
- Chris Lewis has caught 15 passes while averaging 51.9 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
- Deshon Stoudemire has compiled 23 catches for 308 yards, an average of 44 yards per game.
- Javon Solomon leads the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has four TFL and 22 tackles.
- Jayden McDonald, Troy’s tackle leader, has 42 tackles, six TFL, and one sack this year.
- Reddy Steward has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 20 tackles, three TFL, and two passes defended.
Texas State Betting Insights
- Texas State has a 3-3-0 record against the spread this year.
- In games it has played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, Texas State is 2-0 against the spread.
- Two of Texas State’s six games with a set total have hit the over (33.3%).
Texas State Pick Insights
- Texas State ranks 25th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (409.6), but at least it has been getting things done on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in total yards per contest (477.1).
- Texas State’s defense ranks 93rd in the FBS with 28.4 points allowed per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 11th-best by putting up 38.3 points per contest.
- With 268.4 passing yards per game on offense, Texas State ranks 37th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 103rd, surrendering 248 passing yards per contest.
- Texas State’s run offense has been consistently moving the chains, putting up 208.7 rushing yards per game (15th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 97th by surrendering 161.6 rushing yards per game.
- While Texas State’s third-down defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking eighth-worst by surrendering a 48.3% third-down conversion rate, its offense ranks 22nd-best with a 45.7% third-down rate.
- After forcing 11 turnovers (50th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 11 times (80th in the FBS) this season, Texas State has the 67th-ranked turnover margin of 0.
Texas State’s Best Players
- TJ Finley has 1,842 passing yards, or 263.1 per game, so far this season. He has completed 68.9% of his passes and has recorded 14 touchdowns with three interceptions.
- Mahdi has rushed for 726 yards on 98 carries so far this year while scoring eight times on the ground.
- Donerio Davenport has collected 223 yards (on 51 carries) with one touchdown.
- Joey Hobert’s 612 receiving yards (87.4 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 48 receptions on 64 targets with six touchdowns.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has caught 31 passes and compiled 395 receiving yards (56.4 per game) with one touchdown.
- Kole Wilson has racked up 373 reciving yards (53.3 ypg) and four touchdowns this season.
- Ben Bell has collected three sacks to pace the team, while also recording seven TFL and 30 tackles.
- Texas State’s tackle leader, Brian Holloway, has 54 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
- Tory Spears has a team-high one interception to go along with 19 tackles and one pass defended.
