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The Miami Dolphins (5-2) host an AFC East battle against the New England Patriots (2-5) on Sunday, October 29, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Dolphins rank 21st in total defense this year (345.3 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 462.3 total yards per game. From an offensive perspective, the Patriots are posting 294.3 total yards per contest (25th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL on defense (311.3 total yards surrendered per game).
Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks
The majority of Splash Inc. users are picking the Patriots to win as underdogs against the Dolphins on Sunday (2.7% of users), while 59.5% think the Dolphins will cover as 9-point favorites.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Before you wager on Sunday’s Miami-New England spread (Miami -9) or total (46.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins have a 5-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as at least 9-point favorites this season, the Dolphins are 2-0 against the spread.
- Four of the Dolphins’ seven games with a set total have hit the over (57.1%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- Offensively, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by compiling 462.3 yards per game. They rank 21st on defense (345.3 yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins rank 27th in scoring defense this year (26.7 points allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 34.3 points per game.
- The Dolphins sport the 20th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (233 allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking best with 300 passing yards per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the NFL by totaling 162.3 per game. They rank 19th on defense (112.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The Dolphins are averaging a 42.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 11th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, surrendering a 40% third-down conversion rate.
- The Dolphins own the 17th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.5 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 7.8 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have forced seven total turnovers (22nd in NFL) this season and have turned it over 10 times (17th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -3, 23rd-ranked in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 2,092 PASS YDS / 298.9 YPG / 71.2% / 15 TD / 6 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 84 CAR / 474 YDS / 67.7 YPG / 9 TD / 19 REC / 151 YDS / 21.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Salvon Ahmed: 14 CAR / 50 YDS / 12.5 YPG / 1 TD / 7 REC / 39 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 53 REC / 902 YDS / 128.9 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 30 REC / 359 YDS / 59.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 18 REC / 186 YDS / 26.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Jevon Holland: 51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots is 2-5-0 against the spread this year.
- In thePatriots’ seven games with a set total, two have hit the over (28.6%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank 25th with 294.3 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank ninth with 311.3 total yards allowed per game on defense.
- The Patriots rank second-worst in points per game (14.4), but they’ve been more effective defensively, ranking 24th in the NFL with 25.3 points ceded per contest.
- With 208.9 passing yards per game on offense, the Patriots rank 21st in the NFL. On defense, they rank 12th, surrendering 210.6 passing yards per contest.
- From an offensive angle, the Patriots are accumulating 85.4 rushing yards per game (27th-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL on defense (100.7 rushing yards allowed per game).
- From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots are posting a 36.1% third-down conversion percentage (23rd-ranked). They rank 14th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (37.9% third-down rate allowed).
- In terms of yards per play, the Patriots’ defense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank third-best in the NFL with 5 yards surrendered per play. In terms of offense, they are generating 5 yards per play, which ranks 24th.
- The Patriots sport a bottom-five turnover margin this season, third-worst at -7.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,480 PASS YDS / 211.4 YPG / 66.7% / 7 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 87 CAR / 268 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 2 TD / 23 REC / 162 YDS / 23.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 60 CAR / 224 YDS / 32 YPG / 2 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 8.4 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 34 REC / 370 YDS / 52.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Hunter Henry: 20 REC / 210 YDS / 30 YPG / 2 TD
- Demario Douglas: 14 REC / 197 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 49 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 PD
