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At Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium on Saturday, Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (7-0) play Tory Horton and the Colorado State Rams (3-4) in a matchup featuring a pair of the brightest stars in college football offensively, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
The Falcons are expected to win by double digits (currently -12.5) against the Rams. The over/under for this matchup is 48 points.
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Game Info for Air Force vs. Colorado State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 28, 2023
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
- Location: Fort Collins, Colorado
- Stadium: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -12.5 | -111 | -109 | 48 | -109 | -111 | -520 | +389 |
Air Force Pick Insights
- Air Force’s ATS record is 3-1-1 this season.
- Air Force has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 12.5 points or more this season (0-1).
- Air Force has gone over in four of its five games with a set total (80%).
Air Force Stats & Insights
- Defensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by allowing only 223.4 yards per game. The offense ranks 68th (394.4 yards per game).
- Air Force ranks 28th in points scored this season (34.1 points per game), but has been shining on defense, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 13.4 points allowed per game.
- Air Force has the fourth-best pass defense this season (154.3 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst offensively (88.4 passing yards per game).
- Air Force has been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (best with 306 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (third-best with 69.1 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
- Air Force has been a tough matchup for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (10th-best with a 51.2% third-down conversion rate) and third-down defense (21st-best with a 31.8% third-down percentage allowed) this season.
- With eight forced turnovers (93rd in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (fifth in the FBS), Air Force (+3) has the 29th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
Air Force’s Best Players
- Michel has racked up 566 yards on 135 carries while finding paydirt eight times as a runner.
- Jared Roznos’ 313 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 11 times and has registered 10 catches and two touchdowns.
- Dane Kinamon has caught three passes for 107 yards (15.3 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Cade Harris has a total of 82 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing two passes and scoring one touchdown.
- PJ Ramsey has 5.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has six TFL and 14 tackles.
- Alec Mock, Air Force’s leading tackler, has 41 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year.
- Trey Taylor has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 36 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
Colorado State Betting Insights
- So far this year, Colorado State has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread.
- Colorado State is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 12.5-point underdogs.
- The teams have hit the over in five of Colorado State’s six games with a set total.
Colorado State Pick Insights
- Colorado State’s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, allowing 466.4 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst. On offense, it ranks 49th with 416.1 total yards per contest.
- Colorado State has not been getting things done on defense, ranking 15th-worst with 33.6 points given up per game. It has been more effective offensively, generating 29.9 points per contest (52nd-ranked).
- While Colorado State’s pass defense has been sputtering, ranking third-worst by giving up 308 passing yards per game, its offense ranks sixth-best with 336.4 passing yards per contest.
- Colorado State’s running game has been sputtering, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 79.7 rushing yards per game. It has been more effective defensively, allowing 158.4 rushing yards per contest (89th-ranked).
- Colorado State has been struggling on third down, ranking 16th-worst with a 45.5% third-down conversion percentage allowed per game. It has been more productive on offense, generating a 42.2% third-down rate (52nd-ranked).
- At -2, Colorado State owns the 85th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 15 forced turnovers (ninth in the FBS) and 17 turnovers committed (126th in the FBS).
Colorado State’s Best Players
- Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has recored 2,179 passing yards, or 311.3 per game, so far this season. He has completed 63.9% of his passes and has recorded 15 touchdowns with 11 interceptions.
- Vann Schield is his team’s leading rusher with 53 carries for 236 yards, or 33.7 per game. He’s found paydirt three times on the ground, as well.
- Avery Morrow has racked up 149 yards on 54 carries with one touchdown.
- Horton paces his team with 738 receiving yards on 65 receptions with six touchdowns.
- Dallin Holker has totaled 577 receiving yards (82.4 yards per game) and six touchdowns on 43 receptions.
- Justus Ross-Simmons’ 24 grabs (on 41 targets) have netted him 377 yards (53.9 ypg) and two touchdowns.
- Mohamed Kamara has collected 9.5 sacks to lead the team, while also recording nine TFL and 30 tackles.
- Jack Howell is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s totaled 57 tackles and one interception.
- Henry Blackburn has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 23 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
