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The New England Patriots (1-5) host the Buffalo Bills (4-2) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Gillette Stadium and will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak.
Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 374.8 yards per game. They rank 12th on defense (323.8 yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots are compiling 282.7 total yards per game (27th-ranked). They rank 10th in the NFL defensively (306.7 total yards allowed per game).
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users project the Patriots will win straight up as underdogs and also cover against the Bills, with 3.6% of users picking them to win and 22.6% picking them to cover the 7.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
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Buffalo is a 7.5-point favorite over New England on Sunday and the total is set at 41 points. Below are some betting insights and trends to help you make an informed wager on the game.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills’ ATS record is 3-3-0 this season.
- In games they have played as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, the Bills are 1-1 against the spread.
- Buffalo has hit the over in two of six games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills rank 12th in total defense this season (323.8 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 374.8 total yards per game.
- The Bills have been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (third-best with 28.8 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 14.8 points allowed per game) this season.
- The Bills are totaling 256.7 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them eighth in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank seventh, giving up 190.2 passing yards per contest.
- The Bills are averaging 118.2 rushing yards per game offensively this year (12th in NFL), and they are allowing 133.7 rushing yards per game (25th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Bills rank 23rd in third-down defense this year (42.1% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking second-best in the NFL with a 49.3% third-down conversion rate.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking second-best in the NFL by putting up 6.1 yards per play. They rank 24th on defense (5.9 yards per play allowed).
- The Bills own the 10th-ranked turnover margin in the league at +4, forcing 13 turnovers (second in NFL) while turning it over nine times (18th in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 1,576 PASS YDS / 262.7 YPG / 71.7% / 13 TD / 6 INT / 22 CAR / 131 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- James Cook: 75 CAR / 363 YDS / 60.5 YPG / 1 TD / 14 REC / 140 YDS / 23.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 49 REC / 620 YDS / 103.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 21 REC / 341 YDS / 56.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 57 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 1-5-0 against the spread this year.
- One of the Patriots’ six games with a set total has hit the over (16.7%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots are compiling 282.7 total yards per game on offense this season (27th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 306.7 total yards per game (10th-ranked).
- The Patriots have been struggling offensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 12 points per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, giving up 25.3 points per contest (24th-ranked).
- The Patriots rank 22nd in the NFL with 199 passing yards per game on offense, and they rank 12th with 202.7 passing yards allowed per game on defense.
- With 83.7 rushing yards per game on offense, the Patriots rank 26th in the NFL. On defense they rank 15th, allowing 104 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots are generating a 35.2% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering a 37.3% third-down rate (11th-ranked) on defense.
- While the Patriots’ offense has been struggling in terms of yards per play, ranking third-worst at 4.7, their defense is fifth-best with just 5 yards conceded per play.
- The Patriots have struggled in terms of turnovers, as their turnover margin of -8 is second-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,208 PASS YDS / 201.3 YPG / 64.2% / 5 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 78 CAR / 234 YDS / 39 YPG / 2 TD / 17 REC / 111 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 49 CAR / 193 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 1 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 28 REC / 307 YDS / 51.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Hunter Henry: 18 REC / 183 YDS / 30.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Mike Gesicki: 15 REC / 144 YDS / 24 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 40 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 PD
