Table of Contents
The New England Patriots (1-5) bring a three-game losing streak into a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (4-2) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Gillette Stadium.
The Bills sport the 12th-ranked defense this year (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best with 374.8 yards per game. With 282.7 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Patriots rank 27th in the NFL in 2023. On defense, they rank 10th, giving up 306.7 total yards per contest.
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users think the Patriots will win straight up as underdogs and also cover against the Bills, with 4.0% of users picking them to win and 22.9% picking them to cover the 7.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Get your NFL contest started with Splash Sports, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.
Start here >
Buffalo is a 7.5-point favorite against New England on Sunday and the total has been set at 40 points. Here’s a few betting insights and trends before you place a wager on the matchup.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills have a 1-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
- Buffalo has hit the over in two of six games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills have the 12th-ranked defense this year (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fifth-best with 374.8 yards per game.
- The Bills have been shining on both offense and defense, ranking third-best in scoring offense (28.8 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (14.8 points allowed per game).
- The Bills are putting up 256.7 passing yards per game offensively this year (eighth in NFL), and they are surrendering 190.2 passing yards per game (seventh) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Bills are totaling 118.2 rushing yards per game on offense (12th in the NFL), and they rank 25th on the other side of the ball with 133.7 rushing yards allowed per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging a 49.3% third-down conversion rate. They rank 23rd on defense (42.1% third-down percentage allowed).
- The Bills own the 24th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.9 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with 6.1 yards per play.
- The Bills own the 10th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at +4, forcing 13 turnovers (second in NFL) while turning it over nine times (18th in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 1,576 PASS YDS / 262.7 YPG / 71.7% / 13 TD / 6 INT / 22 CAR / 131 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- James Cook: 75 CAR / 363 YDS / 60.5 YPG / 1 TD / 14 REC / 140 YDS / 23.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 49 REC / 620 YDS / 103.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 21 REC / 341 YDS / 56.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 57 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 1-5-0 against the spread this year.
- The Patriots have gone over in one of six games with a set total (16.7%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- From an offensive angle, the Patriots are compiling 282.7 total yards per game (27th-ranked). They rank 10th in the NFL defensively (306.7 total yards allowed per game).
- The Patriots have been sputtering offensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 12 points per game. They have been more effective on defense, giving up 25.3 points per contest (24th-ranked).
- With 199 passing yards per game on offense, the Patriots rank 22nd in the NFL. On defense, they rank 12th, allowing 202.7 passing yards per contest.
- The Patriots rank 26th in the NFL with 83.7 rushing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 15th with 104 rushing yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball.
- With a 35.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Patriots rank 23rd in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 11th, giving up a 37.3% third-down rate.
- While the Patriots’ offense has been struggling in terms of yards per play, ranking third-worst at 4.7, their defense is fifth-best with just 5 yards conceded per play.
- The Patriots own a bottom-five turnover margin this season, second-worst at -8.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,208 PASS YDS / 201.3 YPG / 64.2% / 5 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 78 CAR / 234 YDS / 39 YPG / 2 TD / 17 REC / 111 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 49 CAR / 193 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 1 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 28 REC / 307 YDS / 51.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Hunter Henry: 18 REC / 183 YDS / 30.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Mike Gesicki: 15 REC / 144 YDS / 24 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 40 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 PD
