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Two outstanding rushers will be on display when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023.
The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +10.5) against the Falcons (with an over/under of 34 points).
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Game Info for Air Force vs. Navy
- Game Day: Saturday, October 21, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Annapolis, Maryland
- Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -10.5 | -111 | -109 | 34 | -113 | -107 | -439 | +333 |
Air Force Pick Insights
- Air Force is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
- In games it has played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, Air Force is 1-1 against the spread.
- Out of Air Force’s four games with a set total, all have hit the over.
Air Force Stats & Insights
- Air Force ranks 55th in total offense this season (412.2 yards per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 412.2 yards allowed per game.
- Air Force has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (17th-best with 37 points per game) and scoring defense (10th-best with 14.7 points allowed per game) this season.
- Air Force has the sixth-best pass defense this season (163 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst on the offensive side of the ball (78 passing yards per game).
- Air Force has been finding success on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking best in rushing offense (334.2 rushing yards per game) and sixth-best in rushing defense (77 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Offensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the FBS by averaging a 59.4% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 45th on defense (35.2% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- With six forced turnovers (109th in the FBS) against four turnovers committed (eighth in the FBS), Air Force (+2) has the 36th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
Air Force’s Best Players
- Michel has carried the ball 113 times for a team-high 497 yards on the ground and has found the end zone eight times as a runner.
- Jared Roznos’ team-high 279 yards as a receiver have come on nine catches (out of 10 targets) with two touchdowns.
- Cade Harris has caught two passes for 82 yards (13.7 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Brandon Engel has a total of 46 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in two throws.
- PJ Ramsey has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has five TFL and 10 tackles.
- Alec Mock is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 34 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks.
- Trey Taylor has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 28 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
Navy Betting Insights
- Navy is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this season, the Midshipmen are 1-1 against the spread.
- In Navy’s five games with a set total, two have hit the over (40%).
Navy Pick Insights
- Navy is compiling 335 total yards per game on offense this season (105th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 375.3 total yards per game (70th-ranked).
- Navy has not been getting things done offensively, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS with 20.3 points per game. It has been better defensively, allowing 23 points per contest (50th-ranked).
- Navy’s passing game has been struggling, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 99.3 passing yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, giving up 226.8 passing yards per contest (72nd-ranked).
- Navy’s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 235.7 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 148.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 79th.
- Navy’s offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking 14th-worst in the FBS with a 31% third-down conversion percentage. It has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering a 32.9% third-down rate (28th-ranked).
- Navy has produced 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over three times, leading to a +9 turnover margin, which ranks third-best in the FBS.
Navy’s Best Players
- Tai Lavatai has compiled 426 yards on 51.9% passing while recording three touchdown passes with zero interceptions this season. He’s also run for 163 yards with two scores.
- The team’s top rusher, Tecza, has carried the ball 62 times for 503 yards (83.8 per game) with four touchdowns.
- Dabe Fofana has racked up 229 yards (on 54 carries) with one touchdown.
- Eli Heidenreich has totaled four catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 156 (26 yards per game). He’s been targeted nine times and has two touchdowns.
- Brandon Chatman has racked up 146 receiving yards (24.3 yards per game) on seven receptions.
- Nathan Kent has racked up 77 reciving yards (12.8 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Luke Pirris has collected three sacks to lead the team, while also recording three TFL and 24 tackles.
- Navy’s top-tackler, Will Harbour, has 46 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks this year.
- Rayuan Lane has a team-leading three interceptions to go along with 29 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
