Table of Contents
The New England Patriots (1-5) host the Buffalo Bills (4-2) on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Gillette Stadium and will aim to halt a three-game losing streak.
On offense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 374.8 yards per game. They rank 12th on defense (323.8 yards allowed per game). The Patriots rank 27th with 282.7 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 10th with 306.7 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
The Patriots are projected by Splash Inc. users to both cover the spread and win straight up as underdogs against the Bills on Sunday. Currently, 4.2% of users are picking them to win the game and 23.3% are picking the Patriots to cover the 8-point spread.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Get your NFL contest started with Splash Sports, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.
Start here >
Before you wager on Sunday’s Buffalo-New England spread (Buffalo -8) or total (40 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have gone 3-3-0 ATS this season.
- The Bills have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 8 points or more this season (0-1).
- In the Bills’ six games with a set total, two have hit the over (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills sport the 12th-ranked defense this season (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best with 374.8 yards per game.
- The Bills have been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (third-best with 28.8 points per game) and scoring defense (third-best with 14.8 points allowed per game) this season.
- Offensively, the Bills rank eighth in the NFL with 256.7 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank seventh in passing yards allowed per contest (190.2).
- On offense, the Bills rank 12th in the NFL with 118.2 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 25th in rushing yards allowed per contest (133.7).
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best in the NFL by putting up a 49.3% third-down conversion rate. They rank 23rd on defense (42.1% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Bills rank 24th in yards per play allowed this season (5.9), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking second-best in the NFL with 6.1 yards per play.
- With 13 forced turnovers (second in NFL) against nine turnovers committed (18th in NFL), the Bills’ +4 turnover margin ranks 10th in the league.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 1,576 PASS YDS / 262.7 YPG / 71.7% / 13 TD / 6 INT / 22 CAR / 131 RUSH YDS / 3 TD
- James Cook: 75 CAR / 363 YDS / 60.5 YPG / 1 TD / 14 REC / 140 YDS / 23.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 49 REC / 620 YDS / 103.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 21 REC / 341 YDS / 56.8 YPG / 4 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 57 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
- One of the Patriots’ six games with a set total has hit the over (16.7%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- In terms of total yards, the Patriots rank 27th in the NFL (282.7 total yards per game) and 10th on defense (306.7 total yards allowed per contest).
- The Patriots have been sputtering on offense, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 12 points per game. They have been more productive on defense, allowing 25.3 points per contest (24th-ranked).
- With 199 passing yards per game on offense, the Patriots rank 22nd in the NFL. On defense, they rank 12th, allowing 202.7 passing yards per game.
- In terms of rushing, the Patriots rank 26th in the NFL on offense (83.7 rushing yards per game) and 15th defensively (104 rushing yards allowed per game).
- From an offensive angle, the Patriots are generating a 35.2% third-down conversion rate (23rd-ranked). They rank 11th in the NFL on defense (37.3% third-down rate allowed).
- The Patriots rank third-worst in yards per play on offense (4.7), but at least they’ve been dominating on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in yards surrendered per play (5).
- The Patriots own a bottom-five turnover margin this season, second-worst at -8.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,208 PASS YDS / 201.3 YPG / 64.2% / 5 TD / 7 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 78 CAR / 234 YDS / 39 YPG / 2 TD / 17 REC / 111 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 49 CAR / 193 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 1 TD / 13 REC / 59 YDS / 9.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Kendrick Bourne: 28 REC / 307 YDS / 51.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Hunter Henry: 18 REC / 183 YDS / 30.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Mike Gesicki: 15 REC / 144 YDS / 24 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 40 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 PD
