Table of Contents
The Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) enter a matchup with the Denver Broncos (1-4) on Thursday, October 12, 2023 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on a four-game winning streak.
The Chiefs are averaging 381 yards per game offensively this season (seventh in NFL), and they are surrendering 301.4 yards per game (ninth) on defense. The Broncos have been sputtering on defense, ranking worst with 36.2 points given up per game. They have been better offensively, posting 24.2 points per contest (10th-ranked).
Chiefs vs. Broncos Picks
The Broncos are picked by Splash Inc. users to both cover the spread and win straight up as underdogs against the Chiefs on Thursday. At the moment, 1.1% of users are choosing them to win the game and 19.5% have picked the Broncos to cover the 10.5-point spread.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Game Day: Thursday, October 12, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Get your NFL contest started with Splash Sports, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.
Start here >
Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Thursday’s Kansas City-Denver spread (Kansas City -10.5) or total (47 points).
Game Trends for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have posted a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
- Two of the Chiefs’ five games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs are totaling 381 yards per game offensively this year (seventh in NFL), and they are allowing 301.4 yards per game (ninth) on defense.
- The Chiefs rank ninth in points scored this season (25.6 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on defense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 16 points allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are totaling 258 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 13th, giving up 204.2 passing yards per contest.
- The Chiefs are averaging 123 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 12th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 11th, surrendering 97.2 rushing yards per contest.
- On offense, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by putting up a 51.5% third-down percentage. They rank ninth on defense (35.4% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Chiefs are putting up 5.8 yards per play on offense, which ranks them ninth in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank seventh, giving up 5.1 yards per play.
- The Chiefs rank 19th in the league with a -2 turnover margin after forcing 6 turnovers (15th in the NFL) and committing eight (20th in the NFL).
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 1,287 PASS YDS / 257.4 YPG / 66.8% / 10 TD / 4 INT / 23 CAR / 154 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 71 CAR / 325 YDS / 65 YPG / 3 TD / 11 REC / 99 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Travis Kelce: 27 REC / 222 YDS / 55.5 YPG / 3 TD
- Justin Watson: 10 REC / 219 YDS / 43.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Rashee Rice: 17 REC / 173 YDS / 34.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Drue Tranquill: 31 TKL / 0.5 SACK
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos have not covered the spread in a game yet this year in five games with a set total.
- In the Broncos’ five games with a set total, four have hit the over (80%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos have not been getting things done defensively, ranking worst with 450.6 total yards surrendered per game. They have been better offensively, generating 328.2 total yards per contest (16th-ranked).
- The Broncos rank 10th in points per game (24.2), but they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 36.2 points allowed per contest.
- The Broncos have been struggling to stop the pass, ranking fourth-worst with 263 passing yards given up per game. They have been more effective on offense, putting up 224 passing yards per contest (13th-ranked).
- The Broncos rank 19th in rushing yards per game (104.2), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 187.6 rushing yards surrendered per contest.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Broncos rank 15th in the NFL (39.3% third-down conversion rate) and 18th defensively (40.7% third-down rate allowed).
- Defensively, the Broncos are a bottom-five unit in terms of yards per play, allowing 7.2 (worst). On the bright side, they are excelling on the other side of the ball, accumulating 6.1 yards per play (fifth-best).
- The Broncos have a -3 turnover margin this season, which ranks 22nd in the NFL.
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 1,210 PASS YDS / 242 YPG / 66.9% / 11 TD / 2 INT / 18 CAR / 119 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 22 CAR / 160 YDS / 32 YPG / 1 TD / 7 REC / 46 YDS / 9.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Javonte Williams: 38 CAR / 138 YDS / 34.5 YPG / 0 TD / 11 REC / 51 YDS / 12.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Marvin Mims: 10 REC / 246 YDS / 49.2 YPG / 1 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 21 REC / 229 YDS / 45.8 YPG / 3 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 17 REC / 208 YDS / 52 YPG / 0 TD
- Alex Singleton: 43 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 PD
